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To: TimF who wrote (33156)	5/7/2003 12:31:30 AM
From: Raymond Duray	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 74559

Hi Tim, Re: I think there is some doubt as to those being the only two stocks. The only doubt about the control of small pox is emanating from the Bushista Junta who know that keeping the populace in a state of turmoil is to their advantage, the vaccine manufacturer who stands to profit handsomely and the media that needs to keep the public 'sensationalized' in order to profit. *********** "The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace in a continual state of alarm (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing them with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary." --H.L. Mencken

To: TimF who wrote (33156)	5/7/2003 3:35:15 PM
From: LPS5	Respond to of 74559

Many people, including people in the media, don't understand relative risks. That, I think, is the key point; not that some people are afraid of asteroids striking the earth, being attacked by a shark, or something of that sort, but (for instance) that some of those same people simultaneously, and with rationalization, play the lottery religiously. Which brings into play the "magnitude effect:" given varying probabilities of a set of events, one form of consideration can be made not with respect to relative possibility but with respect to potential impact upon realization. LPS5