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Strategies & Market Trends : Heinz Blasnik- Views You Can Use -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: benwood who wrote (859)5/7/2003 6:09:58 PM
From: patron_anejo_por_favor  Respond to of 4904
 
ROTFL! Ask them if home prices ever go down, while yer at it!<G>

EDIT: I just read yer 2nd paragraph! Double ROTFLMAO!



To: benwood who wrote (859)5/7/2003 8:05:56 PM
From: gpowell  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4904
 
Instead, there has been a great credit card & refi bridge/binge to connect the standard of living from when they were "confident" to when they fully expect to be confident again.

Consumption smoothing is a well known phenomenon. However, the data suggests that that isn’t what individuals are doing. It does appear that the savings rate began recovering in early 2002. Also, the refi data from Q42002 indicates people are paying down their mortgages. Greater than 20% of refi’s in Q42002 resulted in lower outstanding balances. That is a record.

Money has been flowing out of equities and into bonds, money markets, and housing.



To: benwood who wrote (859)5/8/2003 9:18:08 AM
From: Earlie  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4904
 
Ben:

I fully concur with your perspective. The average individual "investor" out there has indeed been smacked, but he is still hopeful that the markets will "rebound" and let him escape "where he got in". This bear market has a long way to go yet.

When everybody you speak to HATES the very word "stock" then we might be approaching a bottom.

Best, Earlie