To: Mannie who wrote (18997 ) 5/9/2003 5:12:34 PM From: Jim Willie CB Respond to of 89467 Eric Fry on the dollar travails, and foreign selling - "Foreign interest in U.S. securities appears to be buckling," notes Morgan Stanley's Rebecca McCaughrin. "Net foreign purchases of U.S. securities plunged to $21.8 billion in February, roughly half the level in January and the lowest level seen since the emergence of a string of corporate accounting scandals early last year...The risk that foreigners are souring on U.S. assets is becoming a more acute concern. While we do not believe that February will set the pace for the remainder of the year, we are dubious that foreigners will step up their investment to the $50 billion per month needed to finance this year's yawning deficit." - The Prudent Bear Fund's Marshall Auerback agrees. "Recently released figures from the U.S. Treasury...demonstrate an increasing propensity by private investors abroad to sell dollar assets including U.S. equities," says Auerback. "The U.S. Treasury...indicates that there was net selling of $4.74bn of Treasuries by the foreign sector [in February], the first net selling since April 2002. More revealing was the actual composition of the flows: Large net Treasury buying from Japan ($5.58bn) and China ($1.80bn)...has been [offset by] selling from the Euro area (-$3.4bn), the U.K. (- $2.9bn) and Canada (-$1.9bn)..." - Even more troubling, says Auerback, is the fact that Arab nations have become large net sellers of U.S. assets. Is it payback time? Are Arab countries, principally Saudi Arabia, exacting a sort of monetary revenge against the United States for meddling in their backyard? It's possible, says Auerback, and it could be very bad news for the dollar...To diversify even a small proportion of this money out of dollars is quite relevant in the context of threats to the external value of the currency. - If stocks are such a great buy right now, why are so many insiders selling? Last week, according to SEC filings, only two corporate insiders purchased more than $1 million worth of their own companies' shares. By contrast, 65 insiders SOLD more than $1 million worth of their stock...Hmmm, seems a bit lopsided. Microsoft founder Bill Gates, who topped the list of selling insiders, added a few feathers to his nest by cashing in $410 million worth of Microsoft stock. Such sales are somewhat routine for the mega-billionaire.