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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Compadre who wrote (44669)	5/9/2003 11:55:10 PM
From: Nancy	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 52237

jaime, go to the response i posted to paul, there is a chart link went back to the bull years and yes, it stayed low for 6 years.

To: Compadre who wrote (44669)	5/11/2003 12:40:54 AM
From: Paul Shread	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 52237

Jaime, In bull or bear, when the VIX has hit the lower weekly BB, it has gone on to hit the upper weekly BB. stockcharts.com[w,a]waclyyay[d19940510,20030510][pb20!b50!b200!d20,2][vc60][iLl14!La12,26,9!Lh14,3!Lb14]&pref=G The index has only been in use since 1993 - here's a paper by its inventor: faculty.fuqua.duke.edu - so before that you only get a historical approximation. But from what I've read, the mid-1990s had the lowest volatility in 30 years, so that was in itself a historical extreme. I think how quickly the VIX reaches the upper weekly BB determines the market's major trend - the faster it spikes, the better the market's sentiment underpinnings, IMHO. BTW, just locked in 5.5% on a 30-year mortgage - for free. No closing costs. Long live the Greenspan Put. -g