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Strategies & Market Trends : Heinz Blasnik- Views You Can Use -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: LLCF who wrote (1329)5/15/2003 4:53:29 PM
From: pater tenebrarum1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4909
 
please note that Bernanke's idea (later elaborated upon by the big cheese himself) of how to avoid 'deflation' (which is to say in this case, a decline in the 'general' price level, whatever THAT is) is ultimately self-defeating. it can't work. simply put: if the Fed begins to support a portion of the debt market in order to effect a 'reflation', it will end up being the ONLY buyer of this debt once reflation is actually seen as being successful. where does it end? the 'unsupported' portions of the debt markets would no doubt react, which then would force the Fed to support those too. however, when all existing debt is monetized, expect the currency to collapse (the Fed would then lose its power, the only good thing that would come of it). and when for whatever reason the debt support operation ends, you get a replay of the 70's.
it's yet another typical harebrained statist scheme that will fall flat on its face upon implementation and end up creating a host of problems the bureaucrats were unable to foresee.
there is NOTHING the Fed 'needs to do' except abolish itself, imo (a pipe dream of course, since the preferred method of dealing with the dishonest money system is the cop-out. 'we can't do that'). its interventionism to date has not brought about the expected results, which is a strong hint that the pool of real funding is already in decline (just as has happened in Japan). given that, the Fed, in spite of its nimbus of omnipotence, has in fact already lost its power to influence events (positively, that is), no matter what it does. in fact, all it has achieved so far is to compound the problems it created in the course of the asset bubble.
the liquidation process will play itself out, like it or not. the only choices are: do nothing, then it happens quickly (although it will be painful), or 'do' something, and it ends up a limp towards the unavoidable end game that drags on and on.



To: LLCF who wrote (1329)5/16/2003 4:34:30 AM
From: zonder  Respond to of 4909
 
Are you referring to the charts in those links? Sorry, I don't have the time to read it all.

For raw data, check this out:
federalreserve.gov