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Strategies & Market Trends : Galapagos Islands -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: sun-tzu who wrote (40037)5/18/2003 7:30:02 PM
From: Jorj X Mckie  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 57110
 
The market has not been acting adversely to the dropping dollar. However, at some point, I do believe that international investors may geek on US investments. I think that it is a positive influence on the economy in the long run.



To: sun-tzu who wrote (40037)5/18/2003 7:41:26 PM
From: Jorj X Mckie  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 57110
 
my problem is that I know too much. There is a fiber optic component company whose stock has risen 90% since March. Now, I happen to know that this company is in deep deep shit. On Friday they had a layoff, cut every employee's pay by 10% and put the production line on a four day week. I also know that they have some bonds maturing in the very near future and that they have something like $20M *less* in the bank than what is coming due. And they have a backlog of about $4m in orders....down from about $100m/mo.

I don't care how bullish the market wants to be, when the fundamentals catch up with this stock, it is going to be ugly. Multiply that by how many companies in a similar place? Hard to believe that this can keep going without factoring these things in.