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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: JohnM who wrote (1220)5/19/2003 3:44:54 PM
From: KyrosL  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 793903
 
Post War Iraq may become a huge liability for the Bush reelection, if it's in chaos as 2004 rolls along. Therefore, Bush will spare no effort to fix it. I see hundreds of thousands of US peacekeepers stationed in Iraq for years to come (or at least until Bush's reelection), just like Bosnia and Kosovo. But, unlike the Balkans, where US troops are a small minority of the peacekeepers, in Iraq they will be the majority, with the US picking up the tab. And the tab could be huge, especially if the UN and NGOs stay relatively uninvolved.

There is also an economic reason why Iraq cannot be permitted to develop into a fiasco. A post-war fiasco will deal a big blow to confidence in the US dollar as the world's reserve currency, with bad implications for US financial markets. Bush simply cannot afford to let such a scenario develop before his reelection.

Kyros