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Strategies & Market Trends : Heinz Blasnik- Views You Can Use -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jorj X Mckie who wrote (1633)5/21/2003 12:10:55 AM
From: LLCF  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4909
 
<But where the heck are they going to go from here?>

I"m afraid of shorting the 30 year because of the FED getting involved buying them back. I think that is what has created this latest silly rally [well, it's real, so not so silly perhaps]. I'm curious about the implied vols on the long bond as I"d expect them to move up huge at some point in anticipation of buyback/big move down. I may buy long term poots if possible at some point. Certainly their price makes NO sense to me other than on a risk arb basis.

dAK