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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mannie who wrote (19445)5/21/2003 9:11:02 PM
From: abuelita  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 89467
 
'The final destination will be gold and silver with silver representing the greatest opportunity. Now the smart money has been going into the euro and gold.
Smarter money is going into silver.'


... do you believe it scoot?

-r



To: Mannie who wrote (19445)5/21/2003 9:53:52 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 89467
 
big Asian surpluses are going blindly into TBonds and Fannys

the key to TrezBonds is that principal doesnt rise much when rates go from tiny to near zero
but the loss if rates rise is large
and the currency translation hits again for loss

just read the Duncan summary of Asian recycling
fascinating
looks like yet another Mother of All Vicious Circles

either the dollar will decline so badly that our trade gap will actually close
OR
our federal debts will rise so badly that we will not be able to pay the interest
EITHER WAY, THIS CONTINUES UNTIL SOMETHING BREAKS

that is what Duncan said
he left out something
eventually the dollar will decline so badly that Japan will have to begin repatriation during default resolution
that will unleash import product price inflation coming from Asia

if China ever wanted to kill us, they will get their chance
just raise the yuan by 25% and watch consumer prices jump here in USA

this Mother of All Vicious Circles will send us into the liquidity trap, even with the serious advent of imported price inflation

I HAVE BEGUN TO BELIEVE AN INFLATIONARY RECESSION HAS ODDS 10:1 IN FAVOR
WITH AN INFLATIONARY DEPRESSION NOW ODDS 2:1 IN FAVOR ALSO
ours will be a NIGHTMARE STAGFLATION

first, the effect on real estate will be absolutely queer
prices will rise and rise and rise
but properties will sit on the market
eventually, total idiots will purchase with Fanny funding
then in a year or so, Fanny Mae will be annihilated
I mean lose 75% of its stock value
I mean show 20% default rates
real estate will then undergo a 30-40% correction by 2008
that will bring about a painful endless recession

the effect on gold will be unbelievable
simply incredible
not if, but rather when
gold will rise strongly
not whether, but rather how high
Asians will begin the bidding, transforming their COMPETITIVE CURRENCY DEVALUATION game into a COMPETITIVE GOLD BIDDING game !!!
they will lap up the American Economy's blood !!!

I say gold will surpass $1000 and silver surpass $40 when the dollar closes on 60 on the trade weighted index
by 2005
but it will not stop until 2010, hitting $3000-4000 with no trouble whatsoever
both Asians and American/Europeans will bid it up
the price inflation will be terrible

this is the Weimar Argentina outcome I described
we will not have the tranquil Japan Liquidity Trap as an option

I will be at the Florida beach somewhere
making friends with young girls and sharks in the water
all this experience with financial sharks will pay off
/ jim

p.s. anyone who thinks this is crazy, check posts last May-June-July
then raise the bar on credibility
then paste this message on your friggin fridge
and get back to me in one year



To: Mannie who wrote (19445)5/21/2003 11:43:58 PM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 89467
 
Two of America's Richest Assail Bush Tax Cut

Tue May 20, 5:23 PM ET

NEW YORK (Reuters) - You would think two of the
wealthiest Americans would have no problem with a tax
cut that would put thousands, if not millions, of
dollars in their pockets.



But billionaire investors Warren Buffett (news - web
sites) and George Soros, Nos. 2 and 24 on Forbes
Magazine's list of the 400 richest Americans, both
railed on Tuesday against President Bush (news - web
sites)'s plan to deepen income tax cuts and eliminate
taxes on corporate dividends.

Bush, who has campaigned around the country touting
the plan as a way of creating jobs and boosting stock
prices, is pressing for final agreement this week as
Congress wrangles to fit the package into a $350
billion limit set by the Senate.

In an opinion article in the Washington Post, Buffett,
the chairman of holding company Berkshire Hathaway,
said he already pays about the same income tax rate as
his receptionist -- about 30 percent.

But Buffett said with the planned dividend tax cut, he
conceivably could pay a mere 3 percent in income
taxes. Recalling President John F. Kennedy's
declaration that Americans should "pay any price, bear
any burden" for the country, Buffett said a 3 percent
income tax rate "seems a bit light."

"Supporters of making dividends tax free like to paint
critics as promoters of class warfare. The fact is,
however, their proposal promotes class welfare. For my
class," wrote Buffett, whose wealth is estimated at
$36 billion.

Soros, renowned for both his swashbuckling speculative
bets on currencies as well as his philanthropic work,
dismissed the tax cuts. He said they would not revive
the U.S. economy in the short-term but were only aimed
at helping the rich get richer.

"This move is designed not to have much impact now.
It's designed to have an impact over an extended
period and it's basically using the recession to
redistribute income to the wealthy," Soros said in an
interview with financial news network CNBC.

"I think that is really not a very effective way of
using a deficit," said Soros, whose wealth is
estimated at $6 billion.