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To: High Country Trader who wrote (74407)5/22/2003 6:14:13 PM
From: John Madarasz  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 209892
 
Thxs for the details.

The site was Astrikos.com, I posted that directly under the excerpt...which was used with permission.

They only track the data back to 1988 per their site, so I am inferring that their results are only from that data set...my apologies for omitting that disclaimer.

Investors Intelligence Advisors Survey charts to January 1963 are maintained at the chartcraft.com website, and the historical readings are only presented as a Bulls minus Bears %age ratio.

As of today the raw data and exact Bull and Bear % numbers are only available back to July 17th, 2002 at the Chartcraft site

Do you have the date parameters for your figures to put your post in perspective? My guess is those extended stretches of low Bear figures followed exentede stretches of extraordinarily HIGH bear readings...which of course we have not seen yet in this "Bear" market

Here are extreme bear high % readings in a historical context...

Message 17615431



To: High Country Trader who wrote (74407)5/22/2003 6:19:01 PM
From: byhiselo  Respond to of 209892
 
hmmm...very interesting, thx eom



To: High Country Trader who wrote (74407)5/22/2003 6:37:50 PM
From: lisalisalisa  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
those instances you site, of 'coming out of a bear'- weren’t they preceded by some astonishing number of consecutive weeks that showed more bears than bulls?

I thought they were. If so that would mean the public was wrong during the turn, but when the turn was well underway they joined it and carried the trend..which is to be expected no?

As I understand it this bear has not yet seen negative sentiment readings approaching other historic bottoms. Week after week of more bears for example. Meaning, from my view that the 'crowd' has yet to embrace the trend....IMO..