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Strategies & Market Trends : Heinz Blasnik- Views You Can Use -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: UnBelievable who wrote (1705)5/22/2003 10:15:15 PM
From: yard_man  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 4912
 
Deflation is the result of the liquidation of the ... mistakes brought about by easy money. Kinda like a fire sale or something ... the difference is negative feedback which reinforces the trend of the prices of certain assets.

Your problem is?? All the printing -- debt expansion -- a depreciating currency -- imply increasing prices??

Printing?? At some pt the printing stops as it becomes demonstrably ineffective --

Debt expansion forever?? debt expansion requires people willing to take on more debt because the percieve it as advantageous -- at some pt that won't be the case.

Depreciating currency a source of price increases?? -- got competitive devaluation -- don't forget the USD is the world's reserve currency. Lots of other coutries depend on us buying on credit ...

OR

You got a problem with the idea that POG can rise in a deflationary environment. I guess you need to think about what is deflating and why -- if there is really a contraction or more correctly a deceleration in the expansion of debt what kinds of assets are going to depreciate. First and foremost are those items that are connected with the debt that is deflating -- housing?? yes. autos?? sure

Now what about in the corporate sector ... -- hold on I'll be right back



To: UnBelievable who wrote (1705)5/23/2003 12:33:53 AM
From: LLCF  Respond to of 4912
 
<I Still Have A Problem With Deflation>

Me to long term for sure, and even short term I'm wondering. We know the Fed will buy what ever it needs to even if it goes to the government for permission.

I assume that's all moot until things turn decidedly south and the market is substantially lower, and unemployment higher. Wonder how long that will take.

dAK