SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Heinz Blasnik- Views You Can Use -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Madarasz who wrote (1756)5/23/2003 12:31:30 PM
From: Bid Buster  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4905
 
A little more history from 1968...

Richard Nixon was elected in 1968 saying he would end the Vietnam War and also pledging elimination of the 10% surtax. Upon his election, he took the advice of his conservative Keynesian advisors -- Herbert Stein and Paul McCracken (Stein is the father of tv personality Ben Stein) -- deciding to maintain the surtax in order to balance the budget, and also to increase the tax on capital gains. Stein has been a lifelong proponent of high capital gains tax rates. This combination caused a further decline in the stock market as it anticipated the weak economy of 1970. Because European central banks could still exchange surplus liquidity for dollars, American banks began transferring the surplus dollars to their European branches, which would exchange them for foreign currencies in Germany, France, etc. Because we were no longer exchanging gold for our surplus dollars, we would issue special Treasury bonds to mop up the surplus. The foreign central banks would hold these interest-bearing bonds as reserves, instead of gold, although France refused to participate -- refusing to hold U.S. debt as monetary reserves. France was smart in doing so, for as 1971 opened, the monetary crisis was ripening.



To: John Madarasz who wrote (1756)5/23/2003 7:57:55 PM
From: fedhead  Respond to of 4905
 
1987 was a bit different in the sense that bond yields
started rising raising the specter of inflation due to the sliding dollar. That is not the case now as bond yields are
going down. In fact I would argue that all the macro economic variables are favouring growth (sliding dollar,
low tields) and maybe that is what the rising stock market
is indicating.

Anindo