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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: LindyBill who wrote (99757)	6/1/2003 2:43:27 PM
From: michael97123	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

Bill, Yesterday Tony Blair in an interview virtually guaranteed future discovery of wmds and begged for patience. John won't believe Tony of course but he probably would believe his brotherJayson, assuming of course he was still writing for the Times that is.<g> Mike

To: LindyBill who wrote (99757)	6/1/2003 8:12:28 PM
From: JohnM	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

Naah, the credibility problem will only be with those who would never believe the Admin, even on a stack of Bibles. If they find it, they will believed by the rest. Binary thought again. Think of it as an interval scale along a variable labeled credibility which goes from none at all to complete. And then imagine individuals at various places on the scale moving easily or not so easily one way or the other. And then imagine those individuals aggregated into groups--nations, ethnic groups, gender, clases, what not. At one end of the spectrum, when Bush says his guys have already found wmds in Iraq because they have those mobile units, those folk say yes. And, obviously at the other end, are those who think whichever international body might certify the existence of great amounts of wmd in Iraq are really controlled by the Bush administration, and so his guys lack any credibility. Then imagine that the rest of us are scattered, hmm, more likely clumped in various groupings along the run from no credibility to complete credibility. Thems the folk the Bushies need to persuade and they need some body not beholden to themselves to help with the persuasion.