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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Steve168 who wrote (17139)6/2/2003 12:35:19 PM
From: Wallace Rivers  Respond to of 78748
 
Don't get me wrong, I'm still a bull long term (net long 87%), but I think the market is a bit ahead of itself in the short term. The greed part of the equation very quickly has replaced the fear factor.



To: Steve168 who wrote (17139)6/2/2003 1:01:18 PM
From: Paul Senior  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78748
 
I passed on VICL. I don't understand anything about the business so I only have looked cursorily at the numbers as a below-cash play.

There's $5/sh in cash. Maybe their burn rate is $1/sh/yr. (annualizing last quarter's $5m loss) So they've got plenty of money maybe to go for four years to come up with some products they can sell or joint-venture. And they have a lot of stuff apparently. So that's all good.

OTOH, as a below-cash play, next year they'll have $4 sh/cash declining to maybe $3/sh (??). To me that's not attractive when I looked at the stock price. It was ~$4/sh.

Well, stock's at $4.71 now (and topped $5) today, so the market's telling me I might've made the wrong decision here.



To: Steve168 who wrote (17139)6/2/2003 1:26:53 PM
From: Jurgis Bekepuris  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78748
 
Steve,

I don't make market predictions, so no comment on the rally. :-) I have sold some positions (see my posts here or in Buffettology thread) below current prices. Also bought some other stuff (also mentioned here). I am almost always 100% invested and most of my investment money is in SP500 + mutuals, so there we are. :-)

Jurgis