Weapons are not all that is missing
The spooks have failed to track down Saddam and Bin Laden
Peter Preston Monday June 2, 2003 The Guardian
The first problem - an old problem, not a new one - is that too many of his foes think Tony Blair tells porkies in a jam. That's been a Tory frontbench descant for six years or more. How can a man who supposedly doesn't know his wife is blowing half-a-million of their money on a couple of Bristol flats via a convicted conman be trusted to tell the truth about weapons of mass destruction? See the smirks as this holy roller loses his road map and lands in a ditch.
The second problem - still longer in gestation - is that Alastair Campbell has even more enemies than his master. He was too cocky, too abrasive, long before the 1997 election. He let his contempt for old non-mates in the parliamentary lobby show. There was always going to be a payback time for that: and here, in weakness, it comes.
Thus the third problem - the real and urgent one - is a stew of perceptions ancient and modern, a poisonous pot au feu of grudges and pressures and pervasive distrust. Will the great British public stand by its elected man? No. 63% of them tell YouGov pollsters he misled us over WMD (and 27% reckon he lied). Clare Short does her Goneril act. Labour backbenchers take their constituency phones off the hook. Those newspapers already playing Bride of Brussels in a palace of dreams near you get suddenly, ludicrously, affronted over spin. (Why fight a euro referendum later when you can kibosh it now?) George Bush contributes his usual pinch of toxic rhetoric. With friends like Donald Rumsfeld, who needs enemies?
It all adds up to trouble with a capital T and summer with a sibilant snarl. Trouble tomorrow when the unhappy warrior gets back from taking the Evian waters and faces flak in the Commons. Trouble a few days on as Europe - that terrible "trust-me" issue - returns home to roost. Trouble through every day, in every way, until some proper WMDs, discovered under impeccably pristine circumstances, can be plonked in the forum of world opinion. And Tony Blair's weekend reaffirmation that, yes, they exist, and yes, he'll produce them shortly, merely makes that last bind tighter.
But ... there is always a "but" when Smiley and Co are writing the script. Caveats - and unwelcome questions. Where, for instance, is Saddam Hussein? Not to mention sons Qusay and Uday. We know they exist. We've seen not just the pictures but the mass graves they helped to fill. You'd have thought that, months on, a grateful, liberated Iraq would have turned them in - or dug up the rubble that covers them. Yet, no. Most of the top cards in the coalition deck remain missing, presumed fled. And, of course, you could say exactly the same about Osama bin Laden.
Now, who bears responsibility for that curiously unsatisfactory state of affairs? Not Tony Blair personally. Not George Bush either. When it comes to catching Saddam or arresting Osama, Blair and Bush are as good as their people on the ground. Which means, not very impressive. Which makes the present pother of spooky briefings against Downing Street something less than sacred writ.
Why should we, on the outside, prefer the word of unknown insiders spouting off the record stuff to a BBC defence correspondent to on the record briefing from Downing Street which tells us that the chairman of the joint intelligence committee was "content" with the suddenly contentious September dossier, which now, he wrote, "reflects as fully and accurately as possible" existing wisdom about weapons of mass destruction?
Was John Scarlett so puny in the face of Blair's passion, rendered so tremulous by Campbell's contempt, that he tamely signed on the dotted line? Were Sir David Omand and Sir David Manning, twin pillars of attendant Whitehall expertise, so similarly craven? It doesn't say much for any of them if they were. Yet that's the logic of the tales swilling copiously down the Thames between Vauxhall and Westminster bridges - and from similar detritus adrift on the Potomac.
It wasn't our fault, say the briefers of mass disassociation: they made us do it. They took our finest info - a strand here, a hint there - and wanted to publish it so that ordinary people might understand the threat. Well, of course, you can't publish material like that. It's written for nuanced dissemination, not publication. Blame? Everyone knew that the Pentagon was in hock to that Chalabi fellow's rumour factory. Don't blame us. It was them, the politicians, wot made us do it.
Whatever you think about the war itself - good or bad, decent or disastrous - you have to find this line of secret defence pathetic. On the one hand stand Tony and Alastair, desperate men; on the other hand, allegedly, stand single-sourced servants of wisdom and probity so shamefully traduced that they must blather at second hand to the BBC and flood Fleet Street with the leaked memos of self-justification.
In the dismal days of the cold war, when Peter Wright and his Spycatcher mates went to war with Downing Street, we used to call it treason. Now - with Scarlett, Brian Dearlove et al half out of the cupboard, with unacknowledged M15 and M16 lobbies battling to rival Campbell's lot under cover of darkness - we treat is as mere politics with a lethal twist.
Sure, we need our weapons of mass destruction. But Iraq needs Saddam on a platter. And we, for the avoidance of more orange alerts, more awful warnings and anxieties based on the same webs of intelligence, need Bin Laden. First problems first, chaps. |