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To: John Carragher who wrote (48570)6/11/2003 8:51:20 AM
From: Ron McKinnon  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 53068
 
re: homes sales

there are basically 4 factors

- demand: economy, wages, demographics; most of these are fair at best

- supply: seems to be reasonable in most areas, not an excess like in bubbles of the past

-interest rates: THIS is the driving factor; years ago the rule of thumb is one should look to pat 2.50 annual income; today people are paying 3-5 times or more
when, not if, rates rise the WILL be an impact

-price of homes: has been going up year by year, in some cases parabolic; when rates rise this will likely stall, or drop?