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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Snowshoe who wrote (34956)6/13/2003 7:30:49 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Hello Snowshoe, <<I don't get it. How can China manage to keep it's currency pegged to the USD in this day and age? This seems like quite a distortion of reality>>

... what ever do you mean?

I mean, look at the situation this way, by all right, China's currency should be devaluing against the USD :0) given that the country has huge paper currenct printing needs:

(a) 300 years of pentup demand for infrastructure
(b) 200 years of unsatisfied needs for housing
(c) technically bankrupt banking and insurance constructs
(d) practically non-existent social welfare net
(e) ...

... the list goes on and on, and so a meaningful and sustained appreciation of the Yuan is not in the cards.

To engineering a temporary appreciation of the Yuan, Chinese central bank would have to sell USD and buy ... what ... Euro, Yen, AUD, CAD, gold, oil fields, timberlands, aircraft carriers, rockets, Argentina, Zimbabwe?

If if it does, what would the world's reaction be?

Would Europe, Japan, USA be in favor of any of the above?

Besides, what does the US make that China is in competition with? Cisco routers? Corn? At what level of bilateral and multilateral exchange rates will the US be on the level with Chinese manufacturing of plastic toys or shoes?

So, the wishful thinking is just that, wishful.

The US cannot want to have a USD-centered and Washington dominated global empire and still want to exclude 1.x billion USD-space folks.

Ah, the burdens of empire is very weighty ;0/

Chugs, Jay



To: Snowshoe who wrote (34956)6/13/2003 7:39:41 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Thomson to cut U.S. tube lines
Shares plunge in Paris on outlook, China is the focus
By Emily Church, CBS.MarketWatch.com
Last Update: 3:48 AM ET June 13, 2003
cbs.marketwatch.com


LONDON (CBS.MW) - Shares of French electronics maker Thomson SA dropped 9.8 percent in Paris on Friday after the company disclosed plans to cut sharply back on television tube-making in the U.S. as it shifts its focus to China.


Thomson (TMS: news, chart, profile) warned the losses in its U.S. components business would impact profit for the year. Shares (FR:018453: news, chart, profile) dropped 1.58 euro to 14.56 euro in opening French trade.

Thomson said it planned to close two of its four tube lines in Marion, Ind. It currently operates two lines in Mexico as well. The company further said it won't invest to renew a glass line at its Circleville plant.

"The business environment in the U.S. for TV manufacturing has deteriorated in 2002 and notably 2003 with significant market share losses among local producers to competitive imports," Thomson said in a statement.

"Demand and prices for TV tubes in the U.S. have declined sharply," it added. Thomson said its U.S tubes and glass manufacturing operations are unprofitable.

Thomson expects a net book value of the remaining two lines at Marion around 35 million euro ($41 million) at end of June 2003. It expects to cut the Marion workforce by half.

"Today's announcement reflects the group's determination to accelerate the repositioning of our tube business to China," Charles Dehelly, CEO of Thomson, said in the statement. It termed China the world's largest and fastest-growing TV manufacturing market.

Thomson expects to take charges of 90 million euro for the restructuring. It anticipates losses in components will reduce operating profit in the first half of the year to around 140 to 150 million euro. Operating margin for the year is now expected around 6.5 percent, below the 7 percent in fiscal 2002 and below its 7.5 percent target for this year.

Emily Church is London bureau chief of CBS.MarketWatch.com.