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Strategies & Market Trends : Harmonic Trading with The Phoenix -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: the-phoenix who wrote (758)6/13/2003 3:12:08 PM
From: Jack of All Trades  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 941
 
Looked at my EWP book and you are correct... May consider dumping my calls and repurchase next friday...



To: the-phoenix who wrote (758)6/13/2003 10:20:15 PM
From: skinowski  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 941
 
I have been watching this triangle. Agree - if it is for real, XAU should spend some weeks pulling back. The latest rally retraced 78.6% of the decline into 3/27, and lasted 127% of the time that the decline took.

The next Fibo time - the 161% - falls on the 4th of July (g/ng), and the lower trendline at that time passes through ~65. The drop would be about 78.6% of the rally into today's high, if it holds.

(Not to mention that today the index touched the 70.7% retrace of the decline off the peak one year ago)

The projection looks elegant... we'll just have to see if the reality will agree to keep dancing to this Fibonacci music.



To: the-phoenix who wrote (758)6/16/2003 11:39:43 PM
From: bcrafty  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 941
 
On XAU the 27-week cycle ended June 7

Maybe it's off by a week or so this time, but still pretty close. That cycle called the December low on the button.

I've mentioned this cycle ending a few times recently but it gets greeted with strange scepticism by the gold bulls ;~}