To: Bilow who wrote (101626 ) 6/15/2003 10:52:13 PM From: Dayuhan Respond to of 281500 Mr. Pachachi said that military sweeps through civilian areas with mass arrests, interrogations and gun battles, intended to suppress the remnants of Saddam Hussein's Baath Party and military command, were inflaming sentiments against the American and British occupation. He predicted that if such sweeps continued, they would be "exploited by the Baathists," and he added, "It would be much better if we didn't have these operations." I recall predicting before the war, very specifically, that when American forces made the transition from attackers to occupiers, they would be vulnerable to harassment attacks. I also predicted, and still do, that such attacks, and terrorist operations aimed at US troops and, if they ever become active in Iraq, US civilians, will follow. The American response, so far, has been the response that occupying armies have always made: large-scale sweeps and massive search operations. These will have some success, but they won't do the job. We are coming up against a problem some of us anticipated: to stop these attacks we need investigators and detectives, people with local networks who can track terrorists down and unravel their networks. We can't do that, because we don't have reliable people. We have to use the blunt instrument, because it's all we have. What do we do if it doesn't work? I believe that the attacks will escalate, probably substantially, as the US election approaches, and that we'll also start seeing larger marches, rallies, etc. The people who want us out of there know the fastest way to accomplish that is to get us to do some regime change on ourselves. It wouldn't surprise me to see attacks elsewhere during that period, possibly in the US. We'll see.