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To: JRI who wrote (76148)6/18/2003 2:19:44 PM
From: Henry J Costanzo  Respond to of 209892
 
<<Bond is breaking down here, no?>>

Sure looks that way... but only in a short timeframe basis......For now, still holding my TNX 2.4/2.5 longer-range targets.

<<Is there such thing as 'systemic risk' on US bonds?>>

IMHO. really wouldn't think so......believe yields will continue to react primarily to inflation/deflation expectations, fiscal policy insofar as it affects supply outstanding. and monetary policies affecting liquidity/demand.

BUT.....JRI......you're pushing into FA here.....thought that was strictly verboten on this thread . >VBG>



To: JRI who wrote (76148)6/18/2003 3:20:32 PM
From: reaper  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 209892
 
bond rates going UP? come on; even with the huge spike the last two days we are still comfortably below (20 bps or so) the rate lows of October and March. wake me when TNX has a 4-handle; this "move" is just noise.

Cheers