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Pastimes : SARS - what next? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Snowshoe who wrote (564)	6/19/2003 7:51:43 AM
From: Henry Niman	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1070

The flu pandemic was from a recombinant between a human flu virus and an avian flu virus. The SARS coronaviruis is an animal coronavirus. It has moved from animals to humans and causes a fatal disease and was spread around the world by FOUR people in March, 2003. In November, 2003 it will have infected 10's to 100's of thousands. Human coronaviruses cause 30% of the colds in humans. Co-infection of a person with a cold coronavirus such as 229E or OC43 and a SARS coronavirus provides the opportunity to generate a recombinant coronavirus with the infectivity of a cold virus and the ability to cause a fatal pneumonia. The likelihood of the generation of such a recombinant will be orders of magnitude higher in 2003 than 2002. How many people do you know who have never had a cold? How many have had a cold only once in their life? How many expect to never get a cold again because they have already had one?