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Strategies & Market Trends : January Effect 2003 -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: RockyBalboa who wrote (617)6/25/2003 9:16:52 PM
From: Londo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 666
 
Bonds, EUR and S&P all got hammered, and I suspect that we'll be seeing all-time low yields in short order. I wonder when people will talk about the next rate cut again?

All in all, a very interesting day, and I wasn't expecting the bond to get hammered like it did - I knew it wouldn't like the cut, but to this magnitude was a little surprising.



To: RockyBalboa who wrote (617)6/26/2003 3:08:54 AM
From: Londo  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 666
 
Fed Funds futures: August 99.035, September-December, 99.05 on very thin trade on GLOBEX.

Since the Fed will be cutting again (in 10 basis point increments to length as much interest rate speculation pain as possible), I think these futures will start increasing over the next little while. 3-month and 6-month debt is trading at 0.81% and 0.87% yields (from 0.71% and 0.77% pre-Fed), this still implies some form of rate cutting in the future.

If housing is the only thing keeping the American GDP positive, the economy is in very very bad shape.

Long TBonds and 130 pips away from a long CAD :).. 3.5-3.8% could be in the cards by August.



To: RockyBalboa who wrote (617)6/26/2003 3:21:01 AM
From: Londo  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 666
 
Better buy Euro now! Here's the explanation:

telegraph.co.uk

This is a significant finding - assuming the cash float of Euro totals about 200 billion, and averaging 20 Euro notes, that means there's 10 billion notes out there, times 0.4ug = 4kg of coke! That's about equal to about 70 pounds of gold backing the currency at the street price of US$100/gram. :)