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Gold/Mining/Energy : Big Dog's Boom Boom Room -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Archie Meeties who wrote (24191)6/29/2003 9:11:02 AM
From: quehubo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 206093
 
In 2001 after several quarters of very high levels of drilling activity, NBR for example rolled over hard in the Spring as NG broke $4.50 or so and went lower. This preceded the decline in activity by a few months.

Any time NG spends below $5 should be time to be very cautious. OSX plays will follow indications of future activity levels. Near term futures are less important that than looking into this Winter and next Winters futures.

Look at the Spring of 2001 and today. Activity levels still have another 3-4 quarters of increases to bring NBR up to $60. I expect OSX should make the next move up to WFT NBR $55 OSX $110-120 by October.

stockcharts.com



To: Archie Meeties who wrote (24191)6/29/2003 9:38:23 PM
From: profile_14  Respond to of 206093
 
The prices are one aspect of this dynamic. The other is the inventory level of natural gas. As long as there appears to be a significant deficit, I think there will be pressure to produce. Right now, utilization rates are rising and that is favorable. Should they continue this trend, which will be more clearly explained when earnings are released, I believe, then I think the stock prices will rise accordingly as well, IMHO.