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Strategies & Market Trends : MARKET INDEX TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MITA -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: t2 who wrote (17453)7/2/2003 3:09:00 PM
From: dvdw©  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 19219
 
This is the ratio of CUMULATIVE Rydex Bear / SHORT funds as related to Cash in Rydex Money market. If RYDEX is indeed a mirror on the market use this as an indicator, it has proven reliable in discerning Intent in the near term.

In the real world Shorts are IOU's, the relationship says that Shorts at 96% proportionate cash ON HAND, are out of balance with the potential need in a positively trending market.

If the market would really take off, the ability to cover at higher prices diminishes quickly the available cash pool. The problem with all TA as I see it, is that the information included in the basis, is missing key data. Since Shorts are liabilities, where is the commensurate measure of that liability side of the equation depicted in the marketplace. Just as long pools are finite, so are available funds for shorts. In a supply demand market where the tradable float is a relative constant, Shorts obfuscate this relative constant; but it goes beyond that to the ability of the shorts to cover open positions in a trend reversal. Without this information most TA is flawed for the lack of accountancy of these material facts.

Understand?

Not usefull for everyone unless its integrated with other indicators and systems.