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Gold/Mining/Energy : Precious and Base Metal Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Little Joe who wrote (13365)7/2/2003 10:52:28 PM
From: crustyoldprospector  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 39344
 
Little Joe, I've been getting you worked up the last 2 days with my offhand comments, eh? <gg>

I was referring to a short, sharp drop in the gold indicies, one to get folks back on their heels before the real power-up move. I put some lunch money on ABX July 17.5 puts today, mostly because I was bored, but it's an indication of my gut feel.

But now that you mention it, I also like the odds that before the year is out, there will be another collapse in the general markets. I bought some puts, DJX Dec 80 at 1.7 and Dec 88 at 3.9, during the past 2 days. Also have some USPIX at about even, which I bought a while back at 33-something.

I suspect that the gradual roll preceding the downdraft will be the time that the gold shares shine. When the downdraft starts, I hope to be down to 50% miners, because they will be babies getting tossed with the bath water. There may be some deals in the gold producer shares (which I normally don't buy) if and when the wash-out comes, and I'll be placing some stupid-low GTC bids when we approach that possible scenario.

Regards,

crusty