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Strategies & Market Trends : MARKET INDEX TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MITA -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: jt47319 who wrote (17473)7/8/2003 4:20:52 PM
From: J.T.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 19219
 
Have to take my son to the doctor for hives.

Poor kid breaking out in a rash.

Will get back to you later.

Best, JT



To: jt47319 who wrote (17473)7/9/2003 2:44:52 PM
From: J.T.  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 19219
 
I have been calling up Rydex for total assets in bull bear funds and certain
other funds since spring 2000. Been religiously keeping
track for all funds everynight since 2001.

The simple way I use Rydex is following the Total Assets in
the Bearish Funds vs the Bullish Funds. I give more weight
to the Dynamic Series Bull/Bear Funds because these funds
are leveraged at 200% and came out at the exact same time.
I give least consideration to OTC/Arktos relationship as
there was a 4 year time difference when these 2 funds
opened. Nova/Ursa relationship is less significant today
than prior to June 2000 when Dynamic Series opened.
Schaeffer's Research has never really reflected this
change.

I give more weight to money in money market funds as this
for me measures trader uncertainty.

I use certain sector funds in Rydex to backtest the bull
bear funds to their corresponding index they reflect. The
easiest way to explain this is the BKX index meteoric run
yet no new money (total assets) has been dumped into the
Rydex Bank Fund (RYKIX).

The esoteric analysis on Rydex can murky my read of simply
following the plain vanilla total assets in the Bull Bear
Funds. I have not used esoteric NAV adjusted, percentages
and different formulas I use to stay long. However,
esoteric analysis will become more important as more money
starts piling in long and into sector funds with greater
conviction. Especially as the Bull Market advances and
gains greater acceptance by traders.

I will have more to say on this at a future point in time.

Best, JT