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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: KLP who wrote (104318)	7/9/2003 6:48:47 AM
From: Noel de Leon	Respond to of 281500

Thanks for posting the SotU speech. Here is a part of it: "...The United Nations concluded in 1999 that Saddam Hussein had biological weapons materials sufficient to produce over 25,000 liters of anthrax; enough doses to kill several million people. He hasn't accounted for that material. He has given no evidence that he has destroyed it. The United Nations concluded that Saddam Hussein had materials sufficient to produce more than 38,000 liters of botulinum toxin; enough to subject millions of people to death by respiratory failure. He hasn't accounted for that material. He's given no evidence that he has destroyed it. Our intelligence officials estimate that Saddam Hussein had the materials to produce as much as 500 tons of sarin, mustard and VX nerve agent. In such quantities, these chemical agents could also kill untold thousands. He's not accounted for these materials. He has given no evidence that he has destroyed them. <b?U.S. intelligence indicates that Saddam Hussein had upwards of 30,000 munitions capable of delivering chemical agents. Inspectors recently turned up 16 of them, despite Iraq's recent declaration denying their existence. Saddam Hussein has not accounted for the remaining 29,984 of these prohibited munitions. He has given no evidence that he has destroyed them. From three Iraqi defectors we know that Iraq, in the late 1990s, had several mobile biological weapons labs. These are designed to produce germ warfare agents and can be moved from place to a place to evade inspectors. Saddam Hussein has not disclosed these facilities. He has given no evidence that he has destroyed them. The International Atomic Energy Agency confirmed in the 1990s that Saddam Hussein had an advanced nuclear weapons development program, had a design for a nuclear weapon and was working on five different methods of enriching uranium for a bomb. The British government has learned that Saddam Hussein recently sought significant quantities of uranium from Africa...." Note that much of the above falls into the category of a wife beating question. Saddam had the weapons and didn't document that he destroyed them. Therefore we go to war. But what if he had destroyed them but didn't document that destruction? The inspectors said that at least 99% were destroyed back in 1998. No N,B, or C WMDs have been found. conclusion Either Saddam had them and had them destroyed before anyone could find a single trace of them(considering the shear volume of materials involved this possibility is set at a low probability, around 0.00001) or they are hidden and will be found vindicating Bush II(considering that the country is large and the quantity of material is large this probability is set at a probability that is 1000 times higher, around 0.001) or Bush II is a liar along with Blair, Rumsfeld, Cheney and others(considering that they are politicians and that politicians lie this probability is set to 0,99999).