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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: thames_sider who wrote (104346)7/9/2003 9:54:44 PM
From: Bilow  Respond to of 281500
 
Hi thames_sider; Re: "You're being too kind. Do you really think savvy types like Cheney or Rumsfeld were fooled? Bush, maybe, but not these machine warmongers (and that's Bush's stance also)."

While Cheney and Rumsfeld may have known that the evidence that they had was poor, I have no doubt that in their hearts, they believed that there really was huge piles of WMDs in Iraq, but that they simply wouldn't find evidence of it until US troops went in.

It is the fate of humankind to believe what they want to believe, rather than what is true. And if they're so "savvy", then why the hell did they go into Iraq without nearly enough soldiers to make it work? Why the foul-up with Turkey? The whole thing reeks of incompetence from one end to the other.

Re: "I expect they'll still get away with it now... even if/when they are removed from overt power, they'll keep the riches they sought."

Again you're assuming that these guys are brainy. They're not. They could have iced a second term for Bush by simply keeping the war on terror going on a simmer. Instead they staked it all on an Iraq war that already has the soldiers writing letters to their congressmen after only 3 months in country.

These guys did not become wealthy because they were smarter than average. They got their wealth the traditional way, by being born into it, or by getting very lucky. Traditionally, these people lose their wealth much more easily than they amass it, and I don't think that this case will be any different. Though former Presidents do seem to always do pretty well.

-- Carl



To: thames_sider who wrote (104346)8/7/2003 12:31:52 AM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
Tony Blair's Troubles
__________________________

Lead Editorial
The New York Times
August 7, 2003

Britain has long been America's closest ally. But more than any previous British prime minister, Tony Blair has made himself a crucial factor in Washington's foreign policy debates. For Americans unwilling to accept the White House's flimsily backed assertions of imminent danger from Iraq, Mr. Blair offered his supposedly independent intelligence dossiers. For those unswayed by the administration's belligerent rhetoric, Mr. Blair stepped forth with a mellifluous moral summons to action. When Washington appeared most vulnerable to charges of unilateralism and bypassing the United Nations Security Council, there was Mr. Blair, providing living proof that the United States didn't stand alone. Polls found that Mr. Blair was the international leader Americans respected most, at times ranking him higher than Mr. Bush.

The White House therefore has every reason to be concerned about the British prime minister's growing credibility problems at home. Mr. Blair's grip on office doesn't seem threatened. But his once legendary ability to sway public opinion has taken a large, and largely self-inflicted, hit. The next time Washington needs to borrow some of his credibility to broaden domestic support for its international policies, he may have little to spare. We credit the sincerity of Mr. Blair's beliefs, but are troubled by the unworthy, and ultimately counterproductive, ways he used to advance them.

Mr. Blair is still admired in America. But polls show that most British voters no longer trust him to level with them. Some of his government's prewar intelligence claims about Iraq have been exposed as unsubstantiated. None of the unconventional weapons cited by the government have yet been found. Postwar problems have been worse than predicted.

Most damaging has been a nasty scrap with the BBC over a story claiming that Mr. Blair's spokesman "sexed up" intelligence findings about how quickly Iraq could start firing its chemical and biological weapons. The underlying facts remain in dispute, but the crisis deepened after last month's suicide of David Kelly, a Defense Ministry weapons expert the Blair government identified as the BBC's likely source. A judicial inquiry is now under way into the circumstances behind Mr. Kelly's suicide.

Depending on the inquiry's outcome and future developments in Iraq, Mr. Blair's credit could begin to rebound. He can make that more likely by distancing himself from American-style spin operations. He could also more openly challenge Washington on a number of important issues on which his views are known to diverge from Mr. Bush's. These include the need for a wider United Nations role in Iraq, the urgency of international action on global warming and the moral imperative of curbing the American and European farm subsidies that condemn developing countries to poverty.

nytimes.com



To: thames_sider who wrote (104346)3/1/2006 9:01:23 AM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 281500
 
Mahatma Bush
________________________________________________________

by Norman Solomon*

Published on Tuesday, February 28, 2006 by CommonDreams.org

Evidently the president's trip to India created an option too perfect to pass up: The man who has led the world in violence during the first years of the 21st century could pay homage to the world's leading practitioner of nonviolence during the first half of the 20th century. So the White House announced plans for George W. Bush to lay a wreath at the Mahatma Gandhi memorial in New Delhi this week.

While audacious in its shameless and extreme hypocrisy, this PR gambit is in character for the world's only superpower. One of the main purposes of the Bush regime's media spin is to depict reality as its opposite. And Karl Rove obviously figured that mainstream U.S. media outlets, with few exceptions, wouldn't react with anywhere near the appropriate levels of derision or outrage.

Presidential rhetoric aside, Gandhi's enthusiasm for nonviolence is nearly matched by Bush's enthusiasm for violence. The commander in chief regularly proclaims his misty-eyed pride in U.S. military actions that destroy countless human lives with massive and continual techno-violence. But the Bushian isn't quite 180 degrees from the Gandhian. The president of the United States is not exactly committed to violence; what he wants is an end to resistance.

"A conqueror is always a lover of peace," the Prussian general Karl von Clausewitz observed. Yearning for Uncle Sam to fulfill his increasingly farfetched promise of victory in Iraq, the U.S. president is an evangelist for peace -- on his terms.

Almost two years ago, in early April 2004, the icy cerebral pundit George Will engaged in a burst of candor when he wrote a column about the widening bloodshed inside Iraq: "In the war against the militias, every door American troops crash through, every civilian bystander shot -- there will be many -- will make matters worse, for a while. Nevertheless, the first task of the occupation remains the first task of government: to establish a monopoly on violence."

The column -- headlined "A War President's Job" in the Washington Post -- diagnosed the problem and prescribed more violence. Lots more: "Now Americans must steel themselves for administering the violence necessary to disarm or defeat Iraq's urban militias, which replicate the problem of modern terrorism -- violence that has slipped the leash of states." For unleashing the Pentagon's violence, the rationales are inexhaustible.

In an important sense, it's plausible to envision Bush as a lover of peace and even an apostle of nonviolence -- but, in context, those sterling invocations of virtues are plated with sadism in the service of empire. The president of the United States is urging "peace" as a synonym for getting his way in Iraq. From Washington, the most exalted vision of peace is a scenario where the occupied no longer resist the American occupiers or their allies.

The world has seen many such leaders, eager to unleash as much violence as necessary to get what they want, and glad to praise nonviolence whenever convenient. But no photo-op can change the current reality that the world's most powerful government is also, by far, the most violent and the most dangerous.

*Norman Solomon's latest book is "War Made Easy: How Presidents and Pundits Keep Spinning Us to Death." For information, go to: warmadeeasy.com

###

commondreams.org



To: thames_sider who wrote (104346)3/6/2006 2:33:33 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 281500
 
VP's 'accident' should not have happened
__________________________________________________________

BY GREG JAMES*
GUEST COLUMNIST
SEATTLE POST-INTELLIGENCER
Monday, March 6, 2006
seattlepi.nwsource.com

In the aftermath of the vice president's hunting accident in Texas, most of the news media chose not to focus on the accident itself but on the way the event was handled and the timing of the news release. I can understand that. Hunting accidents are not ordinarily treated as crimes, and, while rare, they are a part of the sport.

However, as a bird hunter who has shot literally hundreds of quail, pheasant and grouse (all of which I consumed), I believe Dick Cheney got another one of those "free passes." The more I think about it, the more I believe that most people likely don't understand just how serious it is to shoot someone while bird hunting. Cheney violated the most important safety rule of gun handling, a rule pushed by the National Rifle Association and all major hunting and shooting sports groups: You never pull the trigger unless you're absolutely certain of the shot.

I'm sure the reason the vice president has not been more harshly criticized on the incident is because accidents do happen with guns and the non-hunting public probably doesn't understand the difference between an accident that can be excused and one that cannot.

There's a big distinction:

A man is hunting quail with friends. He's walking through thick brush flushing birds. Suddenly a rattlesnake buzzes at his feet. He jumps back instinctively, trips, drops his gun and it discharges, shooting his friend in the leg. This is an excusable accident. (These types of things do on occasion happen in hunting.)

On another hunting trip, the same man is hunting quail with friends, flushes a bird, tracks it with his shotgun and fires without making sure the shooting lane is open and the background clear. He hits a friend. This is inexcusable. It's reckless hunting, bad gun safety and, as stated earlier, violates the most basic rule of shooting and hunting.

Right after the story broke, it was mentioned that Cheney's victim re-entered the hunting group unannounced. This fact is totally irrelevant, because it has absolutely nothing to do with the basic rule of shooting and good safety practices in the field.

Cheney likely has escaped a lot of scrutiny and ridicule -- if you exclude the talk shows -- because hunters and gun owners are much more likely to be conservatives and Republicans and because most media types probably don't hunt and have no idea of just how unsafe and dangerous this incident shows him to be.

I have friends who will not hunt with certain people for safety lapses that are trivial compared with shooting someone in the face at 30 yards. (Just pointing an unloaded shotgun in the general direction of fellow hunters at a lot of hunt clubs can get you permanently "blacklisted" and branded as dangerous.)

That's the strange thing about this "accident." Everyone who has hunted upland game birds now knows Cheney is a guy you'd never go hunting with. Yet hunters have said little.

It seems to me this is classic Bush/Cheney stuff, and follows the usual pattern: Shoot first, deflect the blame and rely on a relatively uninformed public to not really understand how bad a blunder it really is.


*Greg James lives in Seattle.

© 1998-2006 Seattle Post-Intelligencer



To: thames_sider who wrote (104346)3/6/2006 4:21:42 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 281500
 
Impeaching George W. Bush

alternet.org

<<...Until recently, talk of ousting President George W. Bush has proved little more than a distant rumbling. For too long, impeachment has been deemed implausible. It’s not going to happen with a Republican Congress, so the argument goes. Not with the president finishing his second term, not while we're at war.

But the distant rumbling is growing louder by the day, creating a resonant echo that is rapidly taking root in public discourse. “Impeach Him,” reads the cover of this month’s Harper’s magazine. And in a public forum in New York City last week, journalists, lawyers, and political figures came together to discuss the case against our president.

Since September 11th, 2001, there has been no shortage of news regarding this administration’s involvement in torture, lies, secrecy and obstruction of the law. Yet, there has been little discussion in the mainstream media of holding those in power accountable for the actions so diligently catalogued by the press. It is a conspicuous vacuum that helps to explain why calls for impeachment are rapidly gaining currency.

In fact, the case for the impeachment of President Bush is arguably the strongest in American history. The Center for Constitutional Rights (CCR) makes this amply clear in its recent book, a concise indictment of President Bush that lays out four clear legal arguments that point to impeachment as a necessary remedy for the gross violation of our Constitution. The Articles of Impeachment Against George W. Bush covers illegal wiretapping, torture, rendition, detention and the Iraq war. An appendix compares the impeachment proceedings of Andrew Johnson, Nixon and Clinton to the comparatively more powerful case against Bush.

Lawyers at the CCR, indeed lawyers throughout the world, have been embroiled in litigation with the administration for years. But the administration has consistently demonstrated disdain for the law, with the president effectively thumbing his nose at the Supreme Court, Congress, and the American people. It is this reality that led Michael Ratner and his fellow lawyers at the CCR to provide a clear argument for impeachment to the American people and Congress.

The piecemeal battles that journalists, lawyers and activists fight every day are a testament to the respect many Americans still have for the rule of law. But arguments against the president’s violation of the Constitution have not resulted in any reform or change in behavior. Public shaming and the threat of legal action often work to keep politicians in line. But President Bush is vocally disinterested in the public’s approval of his agenda. Furthermore, he views the law, as evidenced by torture and detainee litigation, as mutable suggestion. For such a president, legal recourse is largely ineffectual -- unless Americans and Congress reclaim the power of the law to remove the offending parties.

As Ratner told AlterNet, "While our battles against illegal wiretaps and Guantanamo are critical for trying to get back legality, until we get rid of what I consider a criminal administration, we will not be able to go back to even a semblance of civil liberties and human rights."

The Articles of Impeachment make clear that this is no longer just about President Bush. Rather, it is about preventing the executive branch from obtaining carte blanche to disregard the two other branches of government. This is a paradigm shift that has already gained substantial footing through this administration's steady erosion of legal precedent...>>

more at:

alternet.org



To: thames_sider who wrote (104346)3/6/2006 11:35:26 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 281500
 
The I-word goes public
______________________________________________________________

At a forum in New York, pundits and politicians called for the impeachment of George W. Bush.

By Michelle Goldberg
Mar. 03, 2006
salon.com

Late last year, the idea of impeaching President Bush, once taboo even among most liberals, started gaining real currency. Following revelations of Bush's domestic spying program -- and the president's unrepentant insistence on continuing it -- former Nixon White House counsel John Dean called Bush "the first president to admit to an impeachable offense." Rep. John Conyers, D-Mich., the highest-ranking Democrat on the House Judiciary Committee, called for the creation of a select committee to investigate "those offenses which appear to rise to the level of impeachment." Twenty-six House Democrats have joined him.

At the end of January, former Rep. Elizabeth Holtzman, a member of the House Judiciary Committee during Nixon's impeachment, penned an appeal for Bush's removal in the Nation, citing his illegal wiretaps, his deliberate deceptions over Iraq, his incompetent prosecution of the war, and his authorizing systemic torture and abuse. "Impeachment is a tortuous process, but now that President Bush has thrown down the gauntlet and virtually dared Congress to stop him from violating the law, nothing less is necessary to protect our constitutional system and preserve our democracy," she wrote. In March, former Harper's magazine editor Lewis Lapham wrote a cover story in that magazine titled "The Case for Impeachment." The Center for Constitutional Rights -- the legal group representing many of the victims of Bush's torture policies -- has just published a book called "Articles of Impeachment Against George W. Bush," and at least one other book in a similar vein is forthcoming, Dave Lindorff and Barbara Olshansky's "The Case for Impeachment."

With so much ferment on the left, last night's public forum, "Is There a Case for Impeachment?" had the buzzy feel of an important cultural event. The gathering, presented by Harper's and moderated by Air America's Sam Seder, brought together Lapham, Conyers, Holtzman, Dean and Michael Ratner, president of the Center for Constitutional Rights. It was held in midtown's Town Hall theater, an elegant space with balcony seating, crystal chandeliers and gold detailing. Around 1,500 people -- mostly a mix of tweedy seniors and clean-cut young activists -- paid $10 for their seats. Built as a meeting place for suffragists, Town Hall has a storied radical history -- in 1921, Margaret Sanger was arrested on its stage for talking about birth control. It was a fitting setting for a discussion of what Rep. Conyers, a veteran of the civil rights movement, presented as the next great David vs. Goliath American struggle.

"I'm not doing this to fail," he said. "This goes back to a little bit of my civil rights background. We were in an impossible situation. The civil rights leaders came to Martin King and said, please, we hear you're going to start a civil rights movement in the South, you'll get all of us killed, Martin, don't do that!" But if he hadn't, said Conyers, the Voting Rights Act of 1965 would never have passed.

"We've lost more rights and constitutional prerogatives in this short period of time than under any president that my studies reveal," he continued. "So now's the time. What we have to do is, we have to work on faith. We have to believe that there are enough American people who will agree with us that enough is enough. We've got to believe that, and we've got to work on that between now and November, and I think we'll win."

Conyers' invocation of the massive odds arrayed against past freedom and justice movements diminished, but did not eliminate, the air of wistful unreality hanging over the whole thing. After all, it is an exercise in extreme optimism to speak seriously about impeaching Bush as if the important question is whether impeachment is warranted. For almost everyone present, the answer to "Is there a case for impeachment?" was a passionate, insistent yes. Indeed, most insisted that the future of the republic depends on it. But the operative question is not whether Bush should be impeached, but whether Bush could be impeached, and that's something most of the panel barely grappled with.

Time and again, Lapham spoke of the responsibility of Republican congressmen to put their duty to the Constitution above their loyalty to the GOP. His seeming conviction that what matters are the facts of Bush's criminality is almost quaint. In his Harper's piece, Lapham wrote, "What else is it that voters expect the Congress to do if not to look out for their rights as citizens of the United States? So the choice presented to the Republican members of the Judiciary Committee investigating the President's use of electronic surveillance comes down to a matter of deciding whether they will serve their country or their party." He echoed this theme at the Town Hall forum, opining at one point that impeachment should not be a partisan issue -- as if he seriously believes that House Republicans are small-d democrats, a delusion almost as great as Bush's conviction that God, not William Rehnquist, made him president.

Others recognized that for impeachment to even be a possibility, Democrats must retake at least one house of Congress in November. Holtzman proclaimed her faith that the people, once awakened, will save their country at the voting booth. "Too many people have been just despondent about what the president has done, and have not understood that the Constitution itself foresaw this kind of behavior and created a remedy. And once people know that, they can become empowered to act. And I believe that if enough people know, then if the Congress doesn't create [Conyers'] select committee, they may change the Congress!"

Things are not, unfortunately, quite that simple. Polls show more Americans favoring Democratic control of Congress than Republican, but that does not mean they can make it so. Redistricting along partisan lines means that most House seats are safe for one party or another; as the Center for Voting and Democracy found in a 2005 report, "The past two House elections were the least competitive in American history by most standards. In each of the four national elections since 1996, more than 98 percent of incumbents have won, and more than 90 percent of all races have been won by non-competitive margins of more than 10 percent."

Electoral maps that pack liberal, urban voters together have put Democrats at a structural disadvantage that is unlikely to be overcome by either exhortations about people power or disenchantment with Republican rule. As Steven Hill, author of "Fixing Elections: The Failure of America's Winner Take All Politics," wrote in Mother Jones last year, "Even when the Democrats win more votes, they don't necessarily win more seats. That's true in the U.S. Senate, the U.S. House, and the Electoral College." In the House, he wrote, "When the two sides are tied nationally, the Republicans end up winning about 50 more House districts than the Democrats."

The Senate is even more distorted; the fact that small, sparsely populated states have the same representation as large states with big cities gives a huge advantage to rural voters, who tend to be more conservative. According to Hill, "In 2004, over 51 percent of votes cast were for Democratic senatorial candidates, yet Republicans elected 19 of the 34 contested seats."

With enough of a groundswell, of course, the Democrats' disadvantage could be surmounted. But it seems almost willfully naive to talk about mustering a congressional majority for impeachment without grappling with the deformation of our democracy that must be overcome first.

Moreover, as Ratner noted, even if the Democrats regained control of Congress, it is far from clear that they could summon the political will to mount an impeachment drive.

It's understandable, of course, that few wanted to dwell on how unlikely impeachment is under current conditions, both now and after November. The forum was a blast of civic outrage and a call to arms, not a sober exercise in political strategizing. In that way, it served its function: Just talking about impeachment in a respectable public forum legitimizes it. Still, if Bush must be impeached to save the republic, and if Bush almost certainly will not be impeached, where does that leave us?

Some of the panelists argued that if Bush is not removed, America's very foundations would rot beyond repair. "The American people are finally going to get it, I hope, about President Bush," said Holtzman. "And if they don't get it, what democracy will we have left?" Ratner spoke with similar urgency. "We're talking about moving from a republic to tyranny," he said. "It's getting too late. If this doesn't happen now, if we can't hold him accountable now, we're not going to get our liberty back."

Toward the end of the event, the gravity of America's dilemma led Lapham to speculate that even insurrection might be possible. It came in response to a question from an audience member who asked, "Are you willing to discuss the alternative that the American people have if they're faced with an illegal government because impeachment doesn't work? That alternative of course is for the people to overthrow the illegal government by the means that they consider necessary."

"I do think that it could easily get to the revolutionary stage, because I would expect the fight to be extremely ugly," Lapham said. "It might come to that. I don't think you're going to keep your democratic republic easily."

It was hard to tell if the applause that followed represented a flash of militant hope, or an acknowledgment of despair.

-- By Michelle Goldberg



To: thames_sider who wrote (104346)3/7/2006 4:00:57 AM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 281500
 
Someone Slap Tony Blair

By Jane Smiley*

huffingtonpost.com

03.07.2006

I would like to take a moment to forget about the Oscars and give Tony Blair a well-deserved whipping. American readers may not have noticed, but Blair is said by the Guardian to be "reconciled to the prospect that God and history will eventually judge his decision to go to war with Iraq, and says his decision, like much of his policymaking, was underpinned by his Christian faith." Excuse me, but divine right was for KINGS, and, anyway, divine right is over now.

I can't even begin to number the ways in which Tony's observations are out of bounds, but the main one is that Tony's job is to serve British voters, most of whom did not support the Iraq war. So, not only did Tony defy his mandate, he is now at least obliquely denying the right of the voters to "judge" him. He's going to put off being judged until after he is dead. What a relief for him. And clearly, only an arrogant SOB talks about his future arraignment before the judgment seat, such as it is, in such a pompous, idle way. He intends to be answering to a higher power! I have news for you, Tony, in the Democracy, for the PM (or the Prez), there is no higher power than the voters!

Pardon me while I go have a heart attack.

I used to think Tony Blair was something of a tragic figure -- fooled by the idiot Bush into thinking there was a chance of getting something if he went along with Bush's war, while realizing there was no chance of getting anything if he didn't go along with it. I used to think maybe Tony had seen a hard choice, and made the wrong one in good faith. But I see that Tony is another of those folks who thinks he's been chosen by the higher power that is merely his own ego to do something stupid that he kind of wanted to do all along -- to show off. I suppose he can't be beheaded -- that went out with Charles I. But I wouldn't mind if someone slapped him silly.
___________

* Jane Smiley is a novelist and essayist. Her novel A Thousand Acres won the Pulitzer Prize and the National Book Critics Circle Award in 1992, and her novel The All True Travels and Adventures of Lidie Newton won the 1999 Spur Award for Best Novel of the West. Her novel Horse Heaven was short-listed for the Orange Prize in 2002. She has contributed to a wide range of magazines, including The New Yorker, Elle, Outside, The New York Times Magazine, Harper's, The American Prospect, Practical Horseman, The Guardian Sport Monthly, Real Simple, and Playboy. Smiley's latest book is Thirteen Ways of Looking at the Novel, a history and anatomy of the novel as a literary form (Knopf).



To: thames_sider who wrote (104346)6/3/2006 11:02:13 PM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
Al versus Hillary? No contest
___________________________________________________________

The years out of office have revealed Al Gore to be a true leader, combining reflection, honesty and conviction, while the former First Lady has failed to clarify her vision in any way. There's a lesson here for Gordon Brown

Henry Porter
Sunday June 4, 2006
The Observer
observer.guardian.co.uk

Listening to Al Gore at Hay-on-Wye last week, I wondered where we would be had the Supreme Court sided with him in 2000 instead of overturning his narrow majority in favour of George W Bush.

For one thing, Gore would not have attacked Iraq in 2003. In his speech to the Commonwealth Club of San Francisco in 2002, he said: 'If we quickly succeed in a war against the weakened and depleted fourth-rate military of Iraq, and then quickly abandon that nation, as President Bush has quickly abandoned almost all of Afghanistan after defeating a fifth-rate military power there, then the resulting chaos in the aftermath of a military victory in Iraq could easily pose a far greater danger to the United States than we presently face from Saddam.'

He was wrong about the hasty exit from Iraq, but in all other respects, he was spot on. And it is quite possible that if the US and United Kingdom had not invaded Iraq, the West would not now be facing the threat from Iran's uranium-enrichment programme because President Ahmadinejad would not have been given the opportunity to maximise a position only made possible by Saddam's fall.

The 'what if?' conjecture underlines two things about good leadership in America. The first is that doing nothing is a hell of a lot better than reaching for your gun and firing at the wrong target. The second is that it took some courage for Gore to speak out against the martial din of Rupert Murdoch's Fox News network during that period.

Someone once said that leadership is the capacity to explain oneself to others in a way that clarifies and expands a vision of the future. There's maybe too much of the management handbook in that, because the greatest leadership quality is to be true to what you think and to go on saying it, whatever the prevailing view.

In his Vanity Fair/Carbon Trust lecture last week, Gore explained himself and his convictions on climate change with a good deal of ease and charm. Because he is on the stump to win minds and not, as yet, votes, he is free along the way to touch on the institutionalised heartlessness of America under George W Bush, a landscape which stretches from the ruination of Appalachia by the coal industry, through the derelict city of New Orleans, to the $400bn US budget deficit.

In the background looms America as it is today - the TV networks run by six corporations (as opposed to 50 when Ronald Reagan first stood for President), political funding of parties ($500m at the last count), the interesting fact, given its quality, that an average American spends more than a fifth of his life watching TV, and the recent decision by Congress to vote for an increase in the US national debt to $9 trillion. Whether he runs for the presidency in 2008 or not, Gore beckons to the ingenious, open-hearted and staunch nation that has been shouted down these past few years.

That seems to be leadership of a very desirable kind. I cannot say whether he would be a good President, but he is infinitely more impressive than the leading Democratic contender, Hillary Clinton, who voted for the war, has visited Baghdad twice since 2003 and is allowing Rupert Murdoch to hold a benefit for her in July. That alone must signal that she is already too compromised to be President, but also that she lacks the ability to explain herself and clarify a future, which, because of China, the national debt, oil prices and environmental threats, especially from hurricanes, is bound to be very different for all Americans.

It is the vision thing - or the combination of reflection, language and independence of mind - that we look for in a leader and which, to the surprise of many, Gore has found in his years out of office. He will have to trim his message if he goes for the Democratic nomination, but at least he will have spoken as he thinks today. That is not true of Hillary Clinton at any stage since 1992, when her husband was elected President.

A couple of years ago, I was sitting at dinner in Italy with an American Express executive, the impenetrably cool Kenneth Chenault, who told me about serving with Henry Kissinger on the board of Amex before becoming CEO. After giving a speech on a mundane banking matter, Chenault was approached by Kissinger, who said: 'You understand power and you know how to use it.' That is the other component of a great leader.

He challenged me to name five great leaders in office anywhere in the world at that moment (I couldn't) and then asked me about Tony Blair. I had to explain that I was not a supporter because he'd gone into Iraq without a second UN resolution and that his record on civil liberties was troubling. But Blair certainly understood power and he knew how to use it.

I added that he was brave and had found a sort of demotic and insistent language to speak to the British people about public services and security. And his vision? Well, that was wrapped up in his ideas about modernisation and management. As far as I remember, Chenault asked whether competent management and leadership were the same.

They aren't and that is where Gordon Brown comes in. I have to say I find him completely opaque as a potential leader and that, in itself, is not a good sign. As journalists move their allegiance from the Prime Minister to the Chancellor, like flies blown from one cowpat to another, I keep on wondering what they see in Brown, or whether it's just that they feel power is already shifting to Number 11 and have taken off to follow the scent.

It may be that Brown has not been free to explain himself as his friend Gore has, but even so, you would expect a bit more than the rather weird ruminations about flag flying and Britishness. And bravery? Well, I don't see it. He knew about the preparations for the invasion of Iraq from a very early stage because he had to find the money for it, but somehow he has kept his distance from sharing that responsibility with Blair. And on the big cock-up of the moment, concerning working tax credits, he has remained schtoom. Finally, there is no sense of Brown clarifying and expanding a vision of the future in a way that addresses the ordinary person.

Cicero once said that in order to persuade an audience, you needed to inform, to charm and to stir the emotions. Brown certainly does well in the first, with all that banter about endogenous growth, but there is a lot of work to do in the second two areas. His speeches do not have what Cicero called functional beauty. However, I do concede that he understands power and knows how to use it and, perhaps, that is ultimately what bothers me about him.