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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: lurqer who wrote (58632)	7/13/2003 2:11:36 AM
From: James F. Hopkins	Respond to of 65232

OK I've found the scanner left a few out.. I'll do 15 of the top caps tomorrow,... weighted by cap ( the way index funds are forced to buy them ).. This will tell the truth about the trend while some will out do others, and even small caps may run faster,, as a group the 15 BIG caps need to out run the index..( not every thing else ) the 15biggest ones compared to the index, = the momentum set in place by index funds.. ----- When that Mo Mo is up the market will climb.. if that Mo Mo don't go up faster than the index then the tail is wagging the dog. --- The big caps are the head, the smaller ones the tail. This is not to say some small caps can't lead , but with real momentum the big caps will at least beat the index. ----- Another thing about indexing..and all the funds that track it..it spreads risk around so much so that it makes the market inefficient.. Good stocks get sold off along with the dogs.. Indexing is the communistic part of capitalism. Jim PS I've done OK since last OCT.. and I don't want to give it back. :-) On an average if I stay in the money on the leaps I can ( borrow money ) at 1.3% a year.. Shit I get 3 times more than that on my I-bonds.. It's still cheaper to buy the futures than the stocks. ( if you have faith in this bull run ) ---- Jim