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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: epicure who wrote (106562)7/20/2003 5:33:51 AM
From: Sig  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
History of the region, and most all new to me. Did not know the Brits and Russia were involved so early in the region.
defencejournal.com
It seems the British had power at the end of the long arm of their law, to be able to influence or control the Arabs who seem to be unable to work together to get free of outside control

Are we expecting a finalizing miracle today, where Kurds, Shiites, Sunnis can work together for permanent peace?
It seems unlikely, but peace has been achieved for significant periods, and they seem to do better with an outside power involved - which makes sense.
Today the US , with whatever support the UN cares to give, is the major power in the region and can help, or at least enforce temporarily, the rights or borders of the neighbors.
Russia is in chaos, Britain is no longer the colonizing nation it once was, the job falls to the US until the UN demonstrates it can take action and actually enforce a Resolution..
Three major reasons why the US should do it: (lots more besides these)...
1. With the constant regime changes and wars in the area, it would be a great hazard to other nations and the earth itself to have nuclear powers in the region. Assume Iran has nukes and there is a regime change and rebels take over the government, kill the scientists, ruin the security and safeguards of nuclear arms, and gain access to the red buttons. Who are these new people? We wont know them, cant understand them, they have no government in place, most likely a military maniac in charge.. No ambassadors to talk to. Unpredictable and untrustworthy.
2. Peace may only last 10 or 20 years. Thats the length of time needed to develop alternative power sources or efficiencies to replace oil dependance. We should have our plans in place and the science developed to do that job. but it will probably require a kick in the slats, a huge oil price increase, to actually implement the plan.
3. The humanitarian side, to provide a better life for subjugated people,and reduce the need for outside sources of food and other assistance. No need for people of oil rich countries to be poverty stricken ,or in great debt, except for inhuman, wasteful, or incompetent authorities
4. The earth is now at risk with N. Korea seeking nukes. If the US has made a decision to prevent any country with an unstable government from having nukes, it is not appropriate to say that. First job there is diplomacy, then handle it one Nation at a time based on intelligence as to who is next trying to get nuclear arms.
Sig




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