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Politics : Ask Michael Burke -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Joan Osland Graffius who wrote (99469)7/20/2003 3:28:40 PM
From: Tommaso  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
 
You know, Joan, it was quite clear to me in 1999-2000 that the stock market had to come down, but what is going on right now is so weird that I don't feel at all confident about outcomes. I mean, the low interest rates and the large increases in the money supply, and so far not much real inflation except in special areas (medical costs, private education, vet bills).

BTW, I had an order in to buy some RYURX and canceled it because I realized I could do the same thing much more flexibly by just shorting SPY in a well-margined account. I have kept adding to the BEARX in our IRA accounts over the last few weeks.

I guess one thing I do have confidence in is energy stocks and especially the Canadian royalty trusts. There are tens of millions of people who have the money to pay higher heating and electric bills. I mean, for many people a one-month electric bill is about equal to what they would pay for one night in a motel or for a dinner out for four to six people. All you have to do to pay your electric bill (if you have that much income) is to stay home, sleep in bed at home, and buy a chicken. So I can see a lot of money flowing into energy.