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Politics : Attack Iraq? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: calgal who wrote (7134)7/21/2003 12:31:13 AM
From: calgal  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 8683
 
Caterwauling at Bush
Risks Historic Opportunity
Toppling Saddam moderated the Middle East.

BY ROBERT L. BARTLEY
Monday, July 21, 2003 12:01 a.m. EDT

A sane world would recognize, and eventually maybe even this one will, that the most important Iraqi development of the last week or so was the formation of the 25-person Governing Council. While of course still tenuous, it represents the first step toward a pluralistic Iraqi government, and toward consolidating the huge geopolitical gains President Bush won by toppling the Saddam's murderous regime.

Political and press rhetoric in the current world, of course, is instead consumed by the revelation that intelligence analysts sifting ambiguous reports sometimes disagree. Desperate Democratic presidential candidates and the neurotic anti-Vietnam left take the intelligence controversy as the latest excuse for belittling the president's military victory. Serious people need to understand what this carping puts at risk.

To start with Iraq itself, the assassination of pro-American Iraqi leaders is an unmistakable sign of classic guerrilla war. But guerrillas are far from invincible. Vietnam begs to be understood: After more than 15 years of guerrilla fighting, the North Vietnamese victory required a conventional invasion by 20 tank-led divisions. The 1968 Tet offensive is now recognized as a huge Communist defeat on the military front, remember, though it became a political defeat on the U.S. homefront because of misreporting by the press and the public relations blunder of not warning the public.

We should have learned by now that anti-guerrilla tactics have two keys: Deny your opponents a sanctuary, and protect the local population that casts its lot with your side. For the first, Joint Chiefs chairman Richard Myers reports that 90% of the guerrilla incidents are in the a small area of Iraq, the "Sunni triangle" bounded by Baghdad, Tikrit and Ar Ramadi. This is a heartland refuge for Baath Party remnants and perhaps even Saddam Hussein himself, but it is easily isolated from outside support (see map).

As for local security, this is where the Governing Council comes in. We will need Iraqi "ownership" of nation-building, and also an Iraqi security force for intelligence and local protection. A brigade of Ahmed Chalabi's Free Iraqi Forces, trained by U.S. Special Forces, proved itself in quickly pacifying the town of Shatra in southern Iraq in April. For its efforts the FIF was disbanded by edict of the U.S. command, which also postponed forming an Iraqi governing body. Appointment of a Governing Council means the U.S. waking up to reality.

To all of this the rest of the Arab world has been reacting. Amr Moussa, secretary-general of the Arab league, put out a statement saying that if the Governing Council had been elected "it would have gained much power and credibility." On the one hand this is ludicrous, since for all its shortcomings the council is more pluralistic than all but a few of the League's 21 governments. On the other hand, holding up elections as a test is something significantly new in the Arab world.Since the fall of Saddam, the entire Middle East has been inching in more hopeful directions. Iran, far from gobbling up Iraq, has been busy trying to suppress its own pro-democratic student demonstrations. The Baathist leadership of Syria is curbing its anti-American image, and has actually abandoned artillery and tank positions in Northern Lebanon, moving troops from near Beirut back toward its own border.

For its part, Lebanon has arrested two sets of terrorists planning the kidnapping of the U.S. ambassador and bombing attacks on local outlets of Dominos and Hardees. Meanwhile, leaders of Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Bahrain met with President Bush to call terrorism a "plague"; they pledged to stop the flow of money to terrorist organizations, for the first time including Hamas and Hezbollah.

Progress does not always follow a straight line. The defeat of liberals in Kuwaiti elections was not a good sign, though the appointment of a new prime minister affirms the prospect of further reform. The editor of the Saudi Arabian newspaper Al-Watan, Jamal Khashoggi, was dismissed for reformist articles and cartoons. But Arnaud de Borchgrave reports in the Washington Times that the royal family is starting to restrain the preaching of the Wahhabi clergy.

The liberalizing trends come to a head, of course, with the Israel-Palestine issue, which also shows a rare if faint ray of hope. Terrorism declined in Israel after the most militant Palestinian groups bowed to pressure from Arab leaders to proclaim a temporary cease-fire. Prime Minister Ariel Sharon has started to dismantle wildcat settlements on the West Bank and met with Prime Minister Mahmoud Abbas yesterday to talk about further release of prisoners. Mr. Abbas assumed his share of the leadership after President Bush acted to discredit Yasser Arafat, a leader dedicated to revolution rather than the welfare of the Palestinian people.

After meeting with his Israeli counterpart, Prime Minister Abbas will tour other Arab states before meeting with President Bush on Friday. The president will meet with Prime Minister Sharon four days later. Clearly, these next weeks are crucial for Mr. Bush's "road map" to peace.

Clearly too, in advancing his road map President Bush will need all the power and prestige he can muster. Foolish caterwauling about obscure intelligence disputes can only undermine his standing and authority. In reaching for ways to denigrate the president's military victory, the critics risk undermining the historic opportunity that victory has forged. Mr. Bartley is editor emeritus of The Wall Street Journal. His column appears Mondays in the Journal and on OpinionJournal.com.

URL:http://www.opinionjournal.com/columnists/rbartley/?id=110003776



To: calgal who wrote (7134)7/21/2003 1:01:11 AM
From: calgal  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 8683
 
BBC in crisis as Blair mood swings
By Philip Webster and Raymond Snoddy

Corporation faces calls for resignations
Kelly's evidence was inaccurate, says Gilligan





Sunday evening: Leaving for Beijing

THE BBC was fighting to save its credibility last night after finally disclosing that David Kelly, the weapons expert who committed suicide last week, was the main source of its claims that Downing Street had “sexed up” its dossier on Iraqi weapons.
The corporation was plunged into the biggest crisis in its postwar history as it faced angry charges that it had caused the death of Dr Kelly through not admitting earlier what informed opinion in Westminster and Whitehall had long suspected.

There were calls from MPs for “heads to roll” at the BBC although ministers observed Tony Blair’s appeal for restraint in the aftermath of Dr Kelly’s death. The BBC delivered its bombshell yesterday morning knowing that it could no longer sit on the knowledge — confided to corporation chiefs by Andrew Gilligan, its defence correspondent, at least three weeks ago — that Dr Kelly was the source of his report on the weapons dossier.

It would inevitably have been revealed in the inquiry into the circumstances of the scientist’s death to be conducted by Lord Hutton, whose terms will be announced today and will include the BBC’s role in the affair.

The admission casts further doubt on the report that sparked the battle with Downing Street because Dr Kelly told a Commons committee last week that he could not see how he could have been Mr Gilligan’s source on the basis of their conversations because it ascribed views that he had not expressed. “I believe I am not the main source,” he said.

And it left a big question mark over the head of Richard Sambrook, BBC director of news, and Greg Dyke, the Director-General. Mr Sambrook said on June 26 that the story was based on “one senior and credible source in the intelligence services”.

Mr Dyke is understood to have persuaded the BBC Board of Governors to back the story on July 6 when they issued a statement that journalists could use single sources if the information came from “senior intelligence”.

Dr Kelly, a weapons expert, was not a member of any intelligence agency and could not, according to the Ministry of Defence, accurately be called an intelligence source.

The BBC continued to maintain that it “accurately interpreted and reported” the factual information that it obtained during interviews with Dr Kelly. Mr Gilligan last night issued a statement saying: “I did not misquote or misrepresent Dr David Kelly.”

For Mr Blair and his communications director Alastair Campbell, the BBC admission brought some relief. MPs said that it justified Downing Street’s high-octane attempt to obtain an apology for claims that Mr Campbell had inserted information about Iraq’s capacity to deploy weapons in 45 minutes against the wishes of the intelligence services, who believed it to be unreliable.

Mr Blair, Geoff Hoon, the Defence Secretary, and the Government, however, face a critical few weeks, as the inquiry examines the circumstances in which Dr Kelly came forward as the source, and how his name was made public. In his last interview the scientist, found dead in a field with a slashed wrist on Friday, spoke of “many dark actors playing games” and of his shock at being identified.

Dr Kelly’s constituency MP, the Conservative Robert Jackson, said that Gavyn Davies, the BBC Chairman, should go, and that Mr Dyke should consider his position.

But Mr Davies was planning a robust defence of his executives and journalists, believing that he had not been misled by them.

BBC sources said he had no intention of resigning or seeking the resignation of anyone else at the corporation.

It was only on Friday that Mr Davies first learnt that Dr Kelly, the Ministry of Defence scientist, was definitely the principal source for the report by Mr Gilligan on the Today programme on Radio 4.

Although Dr Kelly was not an intelligence officer, the BBC believes that the scientist was a world-class expert on chemical and biological warfare and that he was a highly credible source who contributed to the dossier.

MPs on the Foreign Affairs Select Committee branded Mr Gilligan an “unsatisfactory witness” who had changed his story when he appeared before them for a second time last week.

The journalist Tom Mangold, a close friend of Dr Kelly, challenged the BBC to say whether it believed that the original claims were true. He said that he thought that Dr Kelly had provided 60 per cent of the information in Mr Gilligan’s report but the BBC must substantiate the rest of it.

“Does the BBC believe these allegations to be true? Does the BBC still believe these allegations were true?” he said. “Where is the supporting evidence? It did not come from Kelly. Where did it come from?” As he left Korea for China yesterday, Mr Blair welcomed the BBC disclosure and said: “Whatever the differences, no one wanted this tragedy to happen. I know that everyone, including the BBC, have been shocked by it. The independent Hutton Inquiry has been set up, it will establish the facts.

“In the meantime our attitude should be one of respect and restraint, no recrimination, with the Kelly family uppermost in our minds at this time.”

But Gerald Kaufman, a senior Labour MP, said that the news called into question the BBC’s future as a public sector broadcaster.

Mr Kaufman, chairman of the Commons Culture, Media and Sport Select Committee, said that the BBC behaved in a manner which a tabloid newspaper might “wonder about”.

“None of this would have happened if it had not been for the BBC story,” he said.

The BBC first planned to admit that Dr Kelly had been its primary source on Saturday, but Dr Kelly’s family asked that an announcement be delayed until yesterday. The BBC has been in touch with the Kelly family several times over the weekend. In its formal statement yesterday the BBC said that it continued to believe that it was right at the time to place Dr Kelly’s views in the public domain.

“However, the BBC is profoundly sorry that his involvement as our source has ended so tragically,” the corporation said yesterday.

On May 29 on the Today programme Mr Gilligan said that he had been told that “the Government knew the claim was questionable before the war, even before it wrote it in its dossier”.

At the time the BBC reporter said that he had spoken to “a British official who was involved in the preparation of the dossier”.

The official had added, according to Mr Gilligan, that the dossier had been transformed at the behest of Downing Street — an allegation that has been strenuously denied from the outset.

Mr Jackson said that he believed that the BBC’s conduct was appalling. He said: “If they (the BBC) had made this statement while Dr Kelly was alive, I believe he would still be alive and I think the Chairman of the BBC Board of Governors should resign over this matter.

“I believe Gavyn Davies knew Dr Kelly’s name and he clearly misled his Governors in telling them that this was a senior intelligence source. I believe the Chairman of the BBC Governors as a matter of public accountability should resign from his office forthwith.”

Mr Jackson was also critical of Mr Gilligan and called for the journalist to resign. He said: “It seems quite clear that Mr Andrew Gilligan systematically invented a substantial part of his very damaging story.”

Gordon Brown and John Prescott threw their full weight behind Mr Blair yesterday after a handful of Labour MPs called on him to resign over Iraq and the Kelly affair. The Chancellor’s intervention was significant because some of his supporters, including Clare Short, have demanded that Mr Blair should go. On Thursday he was the subject of a sustained attack in the New Statesman magazine, which is owned by Geoffrey Robinson, a friend of Mr Brown.

URL:http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,2-752183,00.html