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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mistermj who wrote (3556)7/21/2003 5:18:59 AM
From: LindyBill  Respond to of 794327
 
Good article from the " LA Times" about the GOP planning. I will be watching Romenesko's blog tomorrow for reaction to the Editorial cartoon.

GOP Seeks Lasting Majority
The party dreams of a political dominion. To do that, they?re claiming Democratic ideals, raising millions and targeting lobbyists.
By Janet Hook
LA Times Staff Writer

July 21, 2003

WASHINGTON - Emboldened by a popular president, key fund-raising advantages and an opposition party plagued by divisions, Republicans are heading into the 2004 campaign eyeing a goal that extends far beyond the election: They want to establish political dominion for years to come.

With the GOP now controlling the White House and Congress, next year's vote looms as a test of whether this Republican reign is an interlude or the start of an enduring period of political supremacy on par with Democrats' hegemony for much of the 20th century.

"The president has said he does not want a lonely victory," said Christine Iverson, spokeswoman for the Republican National Committee. "We really have an opportunity here to make this a permanent majority."

Toward that end, Republicans have pressed their cause with bold, some say hardball, tactics. They launched an effort to redraw state political maps to favor GOP candidates. They are laying claim to issues, such as improving education and health benefits ? traditionally associated with Democrats. They are trying to turn Washington's lobbying establishment into an army of GOP loyalists. And they are building up campaign treasuries that dwarf the Democrats'.

"It is breathtaking," said Thomas Mann, an expert on politics at the Brookings Institution think tank. "It's the most hard-nosed effort I've seen to use one's current majority [to try] to enlarge and maintain that majority."

The effort may not succeed, but the sheer exuberance of the GOP drive stands in stark contrast to the pessimism that pervades Democratic circles.

"This is a tough year," said a senior official of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. "We had a depressing election in 2002. It would be foolish not to admit that recruiting candidates and raising money is twice as hard."

Republicans appear in especially good position to increase their narrow congressional majorities. Contested Senate races will be fought largely on terrain favorable to the GOP. And analysts surveying House races give Democrats little chance, as of now, of winning a majority.

Still, gains in Congress would be of limited solace to the GOP, should President Bush fail to win reelection. And Democrats have been heartened in recent weeks by the freshly cut chinks in Bush's armor: the economy's stubborn refusal to rebound, persistent questions about his credibility in making the case for the attack on Iraq, and the rising costs and casualties of postwar operations there.

Indeed, Republicans acknowledge that their high-flying ambitions could be deflated if these problems persist.

"If conditions are as they are right now on election day ? an economy that still needs to grow, and we're not where we need to be in Iraq ? our political conditions are going to be pretty difficult," said Stuart Roy, spokesman for House Majority Leader Tom DeLay (R-Texas).

But Roy added: "We think we have taken steps to improve the economic situation and manage the ongoing war on terrorism."

If Republicans do manage to usher in an era of durable GOP majorities, it would upend the balance of power that prevailed for much of the 20th century. Building on Franklin D. Roosevelt's landslide presidential triumph during the Great Depression, Democrats controlled the House for all but four years from 1932 to 1994. They also dominated the Senate during most of that time.

The Democratic grip began to break in 1980, when Republican Ronald Reagan's presidential victory helped the GOP obtain a majority in the Senate. But that was a false summit in the climb to GOP ascendancy: Democrats regained the chamber in 1986. The entire Congress did not fall into Republican hands until 1994.

A Democrat in the White House ? Bill Clinton ? served as a check to GOP lawmakers through 2000. And in that year's election, which produced Bush's cliffhanging victory and a Congress split almost 50-50, the parties battled to a virtual draw.

But now, Republicans see signs that the nation's balance of political power is beginning to break their way.

Polls find that almost as many people identify themselves as Republicans as they do Democrats ? culminating a steady narrowing of the gap between the two parties. And for the first time since 1952, more state legislators are Republican than Democratic.

Karl Rove, Bush's political advisor, argues that a GOP realignment may have begun with the 2002 election, when Republicans defied historical trends by picking up seats in the House and Senate. Traditionally, the president's party loses congressional seats in midterm elections.

Republicans clearly benefited from some ephemeral factors ? such as a well-organized turnout effort and strong candidates. But Rove said in a speech shortly after the election, "I think something else more fundamental is happening ... but we will only know it retrospectively in two years or four years or six years [when we] look back and say the dam began to break in 2002."

Bush aides, House and Senate campaign officials and other GOP leaders are already meeting regularly to plot strategy for the 2004 election. Democrats will be hard-pressed to achieve such focus and unity until their party settles on a presidential nominee early next year. Until then ? and perhaps even after ? the party is likely to continue battling over its best message for running against Bush.

The prospects are bright for the GOP to expand its Senate majority, in part because only 15 Republican seats are up for election in 2004, compared with 19 held by Democrats. Also, seven of the Democratic seats are in states that Bush carried by 5 percentage points or more in 2000 ? such as North Carolina, South Carolina and Georgia.

Meanwhile, even the head of the Democratic House campaign committee conceded that it would take a significant change in the political climate for his party to win a majority.

"It's doable," said Rep. Robert T. Matsui of Sacramento. "But we've got to get a wind behind us. The status quo won't work."

The redistricting process created a major obstacle to the Democratic hopes of recapturing the House. In virtually all states, the maps drawn after the 2000 Census were inspired mostly by the desire of incumbents to protect themselves. The result: few opportunities for one party to claim seats from the other.

"This process gave Republicans an advantage that will be difficult for Democrats to overcome before the next redistricting," Mark Gersh, a Democratic political strategist, wrote in a recent magazine article.

In addition, Republicans in two states embarked on the precedent-shattering step of attempting to redraw district lines for a second time in one decade.

They succeeded in Colorado, where the GOP-controlled Legislature in June altered boundaries set by its Democratic-dominated predecessor. Republicans in Texas, egged on by DeLay, are trying to do the same, although whether they will succeed is in doubt.

Republicans traditionally have enjoyed an advantage in fund-raising, and it appears that that supremacy is being amplified by the new campaign finance reform law that many GOP leaders opposed. The law has forced candidates and parties to rely on contributions that are capped at $2,000 a person ? and Republicans have proven more adept at generating such donations.

In the three-month reporting period that ended June 30, Bush raised almost $34.5 million for his reelection campaign. That was more than the combined total for all nine of the Democratic presidential contenders during that time. And on Friday and Saturday, fund-raisers in Texas added about $7 million to the Bush coffers.

The Republican House and Senate campaign committees also are outpacing their Democratic counterparts in the money chase.

Helping fuel the GOP lead in fund-raising has been the party's pressure on the Washington lobbying establishment. Since Republicans took control of the House, DeLay has been leaning on corporate political action committees and other donors to end their once-common practice of hedging their political bets by giving to both parties.

And in an initiative dubbed the "K Street Project" ? named for a Washington street that is lined with lobbyist offices ? DeLay and other GOP leaders have been urging trade associations and special interest groups to hire Republicans in key posts. Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania, chairman of the Senate Republican Conference, routinely consults with GOP lobbyists to discuss job openings and who might fill them.

"When Democrats controlled [Congress], they dominated K Street," said one source familiar with the meetings. "There's been a significant shift since 1994."

Whatever their structural, financial and tactical advantages over Democrats, Republicans still need to make incursions into traditional Democratic constituencies to build a lasting majority. Bush has led the way in the effort to court Latino voters ? the nation's fastest-growing demographic group.

He also has tried to blunt the Democratic edge when debate turns to domestic concerns. Bush periodically stresses his proposals to improve public schools. And by pushing for a prescription drug benefit through Medicare, his administration hopes to neutralize the Democratic argument that Republicans are hostile to government programs that help seniors.

A recent poll for the Pew Research Center for the People and the Press found that Democrats were still preferred over Republicans on handling health-care reform, 38% to 31%. But that is significantly diminished from the poll's findings in 1998, when Democrats were favored 53% to 25%.

Democrats insist that Republicans may be guilty of hubris as they aim high in the next election, even as economic woes and ongoing conflict in Iraq are taking a toll on Bush's poll ratings.

"They are cocky because they have all three branches of government" and do so well at raising money, said Kori Bernards, spokeswoman for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. "But ... this is a tortoise-and-hare race, and I'm happy to be the tortoise." latimes.com



To: mistermj who wrote (3556)7/21/2003 2:04:58 PM
From: LindyBill  Respond to of 794327
 
"I just love that he is a Christian man!" Don't put down the Mary Kay folk, people.

Bush, at Home Among The Well-Heeled in Texas

By Ann Gerhart
Washington Post Staff Writer
Sunday, July 20, 2003; Page D01

DALLAS -- There are hours to go before President Bush slips into a hotel ballroom here and thanks Texas for pouring $7 million into his reelection fund. Places, everyone:

An army of valet parkers gets final instructions. The merry band of protesters claim their corner out by the access highway, far from the entrance to the sprawling Wyndham Anatole Hotel. They wave American flags and hoist "Peace Is Patriotic" signs.

The Dallas police face them in a line, their motorcycles parked with precision at the hotel entrance: 24 identical Kawasakis at the same angle, each white helmet hung on each right handlebar.

In the cavernous kitchens, thousands of pre-grilled shrimp are threaded onto skewers. They will be tough and dry by serving time. Secret Service agents fan out through the hotel.

And fluttering like butterflies amid all this practiced efficiency on Friday afternoon are hundreds of Mary Kay Cosmetics conventioneers, who, it turns out, have taken over the hotel for most of the month. The ladies are everywhere, peppy, pretty and very pink -- pink being the signature Mary Kay color -- and they are delighted that their president is visiting. "We wanna know something," demands Nancy Brock of Alabama. "Is there ever a bad-looking Secret Service agent?" She giggles, and so do her mother, Caroline Sagunsky of Oregon, and her sister, Emily Sims of Florida. The trio have just stepped through the hotel doors after posing for a picture in front of the backup presidential limo, a popular photo op throughout the afternoon, with its Presidential Seal on the door and its gold-fringed flags on the hood.

The three would prefer to see the man and not just his car. They love him. Voted for him last time, can't wait to do it again, and "have you ever had a facial?"

Yes, once, it was wonderful, but here's a question: Are they concerned the administration might have emphasized false intelligence to build a case for the war against Iraq?

"I don't care about it at all," says Sims, while her mother and sister nod in agreement, "because we don't know anything about this [classified] intelligence. We can't know, as ordinary citizens, and we don't want to know -- it's scary -- and that's why we have leaders, and they worry about that for us. I trust him to lead. I trust that he's doing good things in the Oval Office and not bad things, if you know what I mean.

"And I love that he's a Christian man."

This is the bedrock of the Bush presidency, trust and leadership, and the president enjoys no bigger devotion anywhere than in Texas. The first big fundraiser of Bush's first governor's race was held in this very ballroom a decade ago, recalls Israel Hernandez, the president's longtime aide. He looks around the room and marvels for a moment about back then -- Dallas resident and Texas Rangers owner Bush was considered by many to be on a fool's errand trying to unseat Democrat Ann Richards -- and now.

Now seems easy. Another tenet of Bush strategy is underestimation, and campaign officials take great care to not appear overconfident of victory, with the election so far away. But the truth is the money started gushing like an oil well as soon as Texas finance chairman Fred Meyer and vice chairman Jeanne Johnson Phillips started drilling. In eight weeks, Texans contributed $7 million, Meyer said Friday night, through appeals tied to fundraisers here and last night in Houston.

The campaign's fundraising operation is not unlike that of Mary Kay's. The cosmetics firm promotes directors who recruit new salesladies and earn credits for those recruits' sales -- prizes such as tiaras and pink Cadillacs. The reelection campaign has Pioneers, charged with recruiting donors to tote up $100,000, and Rangers, responsible for bringing in $200,000. Past prizes have included ambassadorships.

Phillips has been proving herself as a Bush money-shaker since the first gubernatorial race. She ran the president's inauguration, and then he sent her to Paris as representative to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, a role that conferred on her the title the Hon. Jeanne Johnson Phillips. Having moved home just a few weeks ago, she finds her husband teasing her by calling her "the formerly honorable."

There are 1,598 Texans who have maxed out at the $2,000 individual contribution permitted by law, according to federal election records. Campaign spokesman Dan Ronayne says 900 of them are here at the Wyndam. They glide up to the valet parkers in very clean luxury cars.

A fair number of trophy blondes hang on the arms of older men, which is so last-decade Dallas, but there it is. They have well-toned legs that end in Manolo Blahniks and Jimmy Choos. Their heels are higher than the Mary Kay ladies', and their eye makeup not as colorful. There are the old Texas oil money Republicans, the young professional Dallasite Republicans and the evangelical Republicans.

Here is Bill Lee getting out of the back seat of a black Mercedes sedan -- the chauffeur is driving -- and chucking his cigar into the ground cover before entering the hotel. He's an independent oilman, the former head of Triton Energy. His wife, Antonia, originally from Turkey, says they have been Bush supporters "since the father," meaning the first President Bush.

Here is interior designer John Turner, a former Ann Richards supporter who thought George W. was just "the doodah son." Then he and his wife attended a charity event in the early 1990s where the amusement was a problem-solving scavenger hunt.

"Everyone else was drinking and partying, and George was fixed on unraveling this spool of thread, part of the puzzle, and he unrolled and unrolled, and when the spool was empty, there was the answer," says Turner. "I'll never forget it, his focus was such. And that is the focus I know he brings to this giant task of his."

Here is Angela Punzi Levi, a native of Argentina, whose business card pronounces her "Official Texas State Adviser to the Nation," a title that she seems to have bestowed upon herself. She has a prophecy for the president: "I told him before, and I want him to hear it again: He is gonna lose this election if he doesn't do something about the interest rate." She wants it higher, because senior citizens are seeing their savings slip away. She suggests that Alan Greenspan "should go jump in the lake."

Here are Brit Smith and Karen Wilson. He's in technology and she's in real estate, and this is their first Bush fundraiser. They have been following carefully the aftermath of the war, and they say it's important that people be patient. "We don't live in a perfect world. Hard choices have to be made," says Smith, "and he's willing to do that." And here, in a fabulous black hat and burgundy dress, is Connie Ware, who remembers vividly the first time Bush walked into a room to stump for governor "and I thought he was just magic. He's a good and honest and decent man." She volunteered then, and drove him "all over East Texas at 80 miles an hour," and he sat in her front seat and blew giant gum bubbles. When Ware raised an eyebrow at him, Bush said with a grin, "I know a thousand ways to embarrass my mother."

Every time she sees him, he plants a kiss right on her lips, "which my husband puts up with." And tonight is no different. After speaking, Bush leans across the rope line and does it again.

Outside, about 75 protesters mill about. They want Bush's motorcade to notice them when it passes.

There are signs saying "Regime Change Begins at Home" and "500 Billion Deficit IS a WMD." Some protesters lift oversize cards like the ones distributed to soldiers fighting in Iraq to help them identify wanted members of Saddam Hussein's regime. The president is the four of clubs, because, says Crawford resident John Wolf, "we don't think he really ranks that high in this administration."

Every time a limousine approaches, the protesters jump up and down and run up and down the sidewalk. Every time, it's just more Mary Kay ladies inside the limo, enjoying another high-sales reward. The protesters don't know it, but the presidential motorcade arrived around the back of the hotel hours ago. Bush has been in a private suite ever since, posing with first lady Laura Bush for pictures with special donors.

After the donors drink their whiskey and white wine and have their fill of shrimp and chicken tenders, the president and his wife hit the stage. Bush says: "It is great to be home. It's really fun for us to see a lot of our old buddies." There is applause.

And: "I came to this office to solve problems, not to pass them on to future presidents and future generations." More applause.

And: "Terrorists declared war on the United States of America, and war is what they got." Big applause.

And: "To get the economy going again, we have twice led the United States Congress to pass historic tax relief for the people of this country." Bigger applause.

And: "For the sake of our health-care system, we need to cut down on the frivolous lawsuits which increase the cost of medicine." Biggest applause of all.

The president finishes at 6:40 p.m. with a resounding "Thank you!" A scratchy recording of "Stars and Stripes Forever" comes over the speakers, and, taking their cue, people literally run for the exits, the women in the highest heels taking the shortest steps, fast, on their tippy-toes. See, it's a democracy: No matter who you are, you get one vote, and you get your car back in the order you arrived in the valet line.

washingtonpost.com



To: mistermj who wrote (3556)7/22/2003 12:18:11 AM
From: KLP  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 794327
 
Hopefully, they will get piles of mail. It would be appropriate if some folks sent piles of dog poop with their comments....saying, here....I think this must belong to you.

Thanks for the link!