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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: RealMuLan who wrote (36395)7/22/2003 1:48:55 PM
From: RealMuLan  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
China's crude oil imports surge 33% in first half
Press Trust of India
Beijing, July 22
hindustantimes.com



To: RealMuLan who wrote (36395)7/22/2003 1:57:19 PM
From: energyplay  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Is the Yuan undervaluation a 'put' for FDI ?

Say you are a manager in a multinational considering a direct investment in China (FDI, Foreign Direct Investment)

If the investment works out , you do very well.

If it doesn't work out , you could lose 15%

*******

Now with the Yuan being undervalued, you know it will rise some time in the future - let's say about 20%...

So if your investment doesn't work out, you lose 15% , but gain 20% on the Yuan re-valuation..... leaving you about 2% positive.... (0.85 x 1.20 = 1.02)

A very strong reason to favor investment in China.
Simmilar reasonig will apply to security (stock market) investments...