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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Road Walker who wrote (172632)7/25/2003 8:00:08 PM
From: i-node  Respond to of 1574711
 
Frankly, this "end of business cycle" recession has been extrodinarily mild, especially when you consider the length of the up cycle.

Tax cuts. Works every time.



To: Road Walker who wrote (172632)7/25/2003 8:14:22 PM
From: Tenchusatsu  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1574711
 
JF, I'm well over 50% cash, waiting for late October.

You're not the only one waiting for October, though I myself am a little overexposed (actually, a lot).

Tenchusatsu



To: Road Walker who wrote (172632)7/25/2003 10:52:21 PM
From: Jim McMannis  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1574711
 
You're right, working off the Clinton bubble with minimal damage will be a miracle.

JIm



To: Road Walker who wrote (172632)7/26/2003 3:37:13 PM
From: tejek  Respond to of 1574711
 
Hell, I don't know. I trust the collective wisdom of the market, and it's telling us that things are, at least, not getting worse anymore.

I'm not sure the collective market knows where were going.......for the DOW, the upward momentum stalled out in mid June, and for the Naz, early July. Since then, we have gone no where fast. And if you own the small caps on the DOW and the Naz, there has been no progress since early June. It could well be a seasonal thing but of late, the markets seem clear as mud.

My best guess is that short term, we will see some revenue and earnings growth.

How do you explain the less than bullish outlook from MSFT, IBM, NOK? Only some of the net stocks and the cyclicals see any kind of upswing.

Longer term, the liberal policies of the current administration, and the fed, will probably require an equal and opposite reaction.

Are you talking inflation?

Frankly, this "end of business cycle" recession has been extrodinarily mild, especially when you consider the length of the up cycle.

It depends from what part of the country you are. In the NW and N.CA and Boston/NH, the recession has been fairly severe.

I think the expectations are too high, you don't get anything like the simultanious PC and Internet build out, and the subsequent growth, too often. It's a once in a lifetime thing.

I agree.

I'm well over 50% cash, waiting for late October. Then I'll get fully invested again, playing the seasonal market. The tactic that is way overdue to backfire.

Yeah, I'm moving into cash gradually but I hate losing two months. I am hoping my nat. gas stocks will keep me busy during Aug./Sept but so far no tamale!

Thanks for your comments.

ted