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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: yard_man who wrote (301)7/26/2003 2:13:35 PM
From: russwinter  Respond to of 110194
 
<HD, LOW and others have been doing the promotions of 6 months or 1 yr no interest game just like all the others for more than two years now >

Indeed, and especially in HD's case they now have "receivables" (translate credit card debt) of 1.386b. That's 9.18% of last quarter's revenues of 15.104b. In the 8/02 qt last year recs were 1.235b on a higher revenue base of 16.277b. Taking more and more sales on credit to generate less sales. LOW hasn't been quite as aggressive with credit rec/qt rev of 3.62%.



To: yard_man who wrote (301)7/26/2003 2:26:12 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Respond to of 110194
 
Wish I knew, the whole situation gets even more convoluted with the FED determined to print without abandon and prospects of run away inflation, it is difficult to figure how stocks will react.

Usually in inflation stocks also move up to a certain point to reflect the company real assets inflation.

Other aspect is that with higher inflation and low FED funds more people will relate to cash as trash and run to the stock markets as the bond market will collapse similar to 1987. At the time there was a complete disconnect between the stock market and bond market for well over 6 months