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To: Louis V. Lambrecht who wrote (14847)	7/27/2003 10:21:06 AM
From: E. Charters	Respond to of 39344

What you do is simulate the program criteria of the mass of automated trading programs and run with it. Volume accumulation signals their runs adequately especially in the morning, but simulating their criteria i.e. diff between cash and future value etc.. would be more accurate. Don't beat em, join em. The coin is weighted to it favours long term one way bias. What changes its bias? Fundamentally its bias changes at a certain point. I believe the coin is weighted by inflation/money supply. at acertain ration of inflation to M1 its bias changes and money flows to the banks, i.e. we get a depression. EC<:-}

To: Louis V. Lambrecht who wrote (14847)	7/27/2003 10:38:22 AM
From: E. Charters	Respond to of 39344

On the subject of competing with computer power, whereas it may not be terrible real time, one could join together a co-op SETI like trading program that modeled market movements and predicted the right thing to for certain market movements. Of course some sort of fee or sponsorship would have to be obtained or the thing could not be written or its server supported, but it might attract widespread interest at nominal fee levels. If it were powerful enough it might be able to operate in real time or there abouts. Two minutes is long time even in widely distributed computing if you are running dummy runs and only need 10% of the distributed mass to come up with a model answer based on previously-run longer-term models. EC<:-}