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To: Gottfried who wrote (10741)7/30/2003 11:43:19 AM
From: BWAC  Respond to of 95463
 
That is a good sensible thought. <If low VIX means 'complacency' then we must admit 'complacency' can last a long time. If a VIX spike means 'panic' we must remember that 'panic' be definition is always a short lived phenomenon. That's why VIX can stay low for a long time, but never stays high for long.>

Now you do know where good sense has been filed? Right?



To: Gottfried who wrote (10741)7/30/2003 11:51:54 AM
From: Return to Sender  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95463
 
Excellent, now we are on the same page. It is interesting to note that the lower Bollinger Band on the monthly VIX chart is below 15 and currently still falling:

investorshub.com

As you know I am a big believer in Bollinger Bands when combined with RSI. Although I see good reason to be wary of a VIX below 20 I do not believe that it is nearly as much something we need to fear today as say last year.

RtS