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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (108974)	7/30/2003 11:21:28 PM
From: Jacob Snyder	Respond to of 281500

<their number one rule was that the guerillas had to have the sympathies of most of the population> No, that only happens in the final stages. By the time the guerrillas have majority support, the anti-guerrilla forces have already been beaten, or reduced to a few besieged fortresses. For most of a guerrilla war, most of the civilian population simply wants to be left alone. Guerrilla movements can survive, and grow, even if they only have 5% active support, as long as most of the population stays passive. What kills guerrilla movements, is if the civilians actively oppose them, or the anti-guerrila forces can separate the guerrilla supporters from the guerrillas. Guerrillas can't operate in a hostile civilian population; it is a Myth that guerrillas exert control mainly through fear. Direct military attacks on the guerrillas, as the main tactic, is a consistently losing method.