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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Rascal who wrote (110410)8/7/2003 1:53:37 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 281500
 
General Says Saddam Moves 3 Times a Day

By D'ARCY DORAN
The Associated Press
Thursday, August 7, 2003; 11:49 AM
washingtonpost.com

TIKRIT, Iraq - Saddam Hussein has been forced to move at least three times a day because of mounting raids by U.S. forces on sites where soldiers have found evidence that someone important - perhaps the ousted Iraqi leader himself - had been hiding, a U.S. general said Thursday.



As the raids eat away at Saddam's support network, it has become increasingly difficult for guerrilla leaders to find foot soldiers willing to attack U.S. forces - driving the amount paid for a successful attack as high as $5,000 from $1,000, said Maj. Gen. Ray Odierno, commander of the 4th Infantry Division, citing Army intelligence.

"He is clearly moving three or four times every single day," Odierno told a news conference at his headquarters in one of Saddam's former palaces. "From some of the raids we've done there are indications that somebody has been moving through there - somebody extremely important."

Saddam is likely being protected by a network of tribal and family supporters who are helping him move around, Odierno said.

The manhunt for the ousted Iraqi president is now focusing on a certain kind of terrain and building - in both rural and urban areas - that Saddam can exploit for security purposes, Odierno added, declining to elaborate further.

The top allied commander also said the U.S. military, in a change in strategy, has decided to limit the scope of its raids in Iraq after receiving warnings from Iraqi leaders that the large military sweeps were alienating the public.

Lt. Gen. Ricardo S. Sanchez, the chief commander of allied forces in Iraq, said in an interview in Thursday editions of The New York Times that the military had virtually exhausted the gains from the massive raid approach.

"It was a fact that I started to get multiple indicators that maybe our iron-fisted approach to the conduct of ops was beginning to alienate Iraqis," Sanchez said, referring to military operations.

American commanders said they decided to revise their approach after concluding that the overall number of attacks against U.S. forces had subsided and that Iraqis were providing more intelligence, a development U.S. officers say will enable them to take more of a "precision approach" in planning their operations to capture or kill Saddam and former ranking officials from his government.

In one of the raids, soldiers from the 22nd Infantry's first battalion believe they came within 24 hours of catching Saddam's new security chief - and possibly the dictator himself - at a farm in eastern Tikrit on July 27.

In the past two weeks, soldiers in Tikrit have captured Saddam's Tikrit security chief, three Iraqi generals, several Fedayeen militia organizers and one of Saddam's most trusted bodyguards, who is believed have knowledge of the dictator's hideouts.

"I don't know if we're getting closer or not," Odierno said. "But there are signs that we are taking down a lot of people who were close to him."

All raids, even those not targeting Saddam, crank up the pressure on the former dictator - making his life in hiding more difficult, the general said.

"He must move often because his support structure has been affected," he said.

Since the death of his sons Odai and Qusai last month, each raid triggers a new flurry of tips that fuel new operations, said Lt. Col. Steve Russell, commander of the 22nd Infantry Regiment's 1st Battalion, which has conducted the Tikrit raids.

"We are eroding all of the support of the former regime and as we continue to do so, it just collapses," Russell said, after completing a series of pre-dawn raids on Thursday that netted four suspected Fedayeen organizers. "Each raid seems to feed on itself now.

The success of the raids has also made it more difficult for guerrilla leaders to mount attacks on U.S. troops, Odierno said. Guerrilla organizers have been forced to increase the amount they pay for attacks on coalition forces to $1,000 from $250. Militia paymasters will now give $5,000, up from $1,000, if an attack kills a U.S. soldier, Odierno said.

"The pay has significantly gone up, which is a good thing because it shows they're starting to have trouble recruiting people," he said.

Each day, the 4th Infantry Division receives four or five reports that Saddam is hiding in cities ranging from Kirkuk to Baqouba to Tikrit, and every tip is investigated, Odierno said.

If Saddam was found, the goal would be to capture him alive, the general said, but added Saddam's bodyguards would probably put up a fierce firefight.

"Would we like to take him alive if we catch him? Absolutely. It would be helpful to put him in front of the Iraqi people and let them see that we have captured him," he said.

© 2003 The Associated Press



To: Rascal who wrote (110410)8/7/2003 2:35:19 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 281500
 
'The seven mortal sins of Bush's blindness'

Posted on Thursday, August 07 @ 09:43:50 EDT
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
By Luc Debieuvre, Gulf News

A few months ago, opponents of the war in Iraq used to say that whatever action the Bush administration would take unilaterally, it would need the rest of the world to win the peace. Although the number of daily casualties in the American army confirm such predictions, U.S. President George W. Bush and his defence secretary, Donald Rumsfeld, stick to their previous position, at least officially, and seem to be fully satisfied with their status as occupying power.

"For sure," writes the Wall Street Journal, "550,000 Nato compliant troops would be fine, but not at the cost of giving them (France and Germany) or the UN substantial say over the future of Iraq." They thus will go on with their coalition of "more than 30 countries over eight time zones", which is basically a few soldiers from here and there to be commanded by a Polish army hard pressed to provide the required number of troops.

They will pay for everything or reimburse all costs. Yet it is not permitted by American law to pay foreign soldiers directly.

This fake internationalisation will not fool anybody and "even if there are good weeks", they can't rebuild Iraq on their own. Not recognising this is their first sin.

A second major sin against a clever vision of Iraq's future is to believe that they will be able to build new Iraq, not only alone, but in their own image. In today's Iraq, the occupying American troops think American, work American and fly the banner every instant. From the creation of a 7,000 strong civilian troop to the implementation of a Police Academy, a school for judges or teachers, America feels at home in Iraq.

Western free-market style economic rules are being introduced, an Iraq Trade Bank being shaped, supply contracts being provided by a company called Halliburton whose quarterly results were never so good for years: all facts which logically should have a negative impact on those not sharing the same vision. And there may be many of them.

The point, however, is that the U.S. has put in place leaders they like rather than those the Iraqis want. Sooner or later, there can only be a reaction to that.

Misunderstanding

One step further towards misunderstanding is taken when arrogant behaviour prevents any fair analysis. For example, it may be more convenient for the U.S. army to describe the on-going guerrilla war as a military unrest favoured by former Baathist partisans. But it is likely wrong, as witnessed by crucial information recently collected by experts. By-passing Iraqi national sentiment may lead to significant mistakes of appreciation and that third sin can hardly be forgiven.

Yet, that's still little when one wonders what happened to the American capacity to treat intelligence material. In a self-convincing exercise, the WSJ editor (whose justifying comments about the war in Iraq have now been immortalised: "We did it because we had to do it.") recently summed-up the situation in occupied Palestine as follows: "Middle East Peace Progress: Israelis are releasing prisoners; Palestinian groups have been coerced into at least a temporary cease fire."

How was this success achieved? "Because Bush has taken time to de-legitimise Arafat" and in Iraq "to remove the most significant threat to Israel's existence".

The truth, actually, is that Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon was able to drag Bush into the trap of the fight against terrorism, preventing him from pointing out the numerous obligations ignored by the Israelis in their own commitment towards the roadmap.

It looked like another weakness of Bush, as illustrated by the appalling comment after last week's meeting with Sharon about the wall of shame: I do not like it, but what can I do since you do not want to stop it?

"Anyway, I hope it will become irrelevant". That was a venal sin; but not resisting the Israeli approach of putting a veil on their own atrocities and shining light on the fight against terrorism, is a more serious capital sin. But the list is not over.

The last three sins are European-flavoured. The first one consists of going on dividing Europe. To do that, an old recipe is to try and separate France and Germany on the one hand, and to insult France on the other.

As far as insults are concerned, it is true to say that although probably not a progress for humanity, UK tabloids have now been overtaken by U.S. newspapers such as the WSJ: "With Saddam left, Chirac has no more friends in the Region", "Mahathir, the new friend of Chirac", or "French interest in Iraq barely extended beyond oil and arms contracts", etc.

This is actually of no value but could even prove useful to WSJ's readers who will now learn that there is something on the Western and Eastern sides of America. Dividing France and Germany may appear to be more simple, provided however that it is done smartly.

When quoting the German foreign affairs minister: "Transatlantic relations are a cornerstone of freedom and stability in the 21st century", one should not miss to quote the rest of the statement: "The strongest country alone is not strong enough."

More serious

The sixth sin is more serious because it has historical roots which may look like having a continuing effect. We come back to the old accusations of the Gaullist aspirations of "glory" and the vision of a Europe which Chirac would dream to lead through forming a Western alliance and setting up a multilateral world where Europe rivals the U.S.

This Transatlantic rivalry is nothing new, at least in the commercial, agricultural, industrial and cultural fields. The point is to show how much an "arrogant" France would like to "lead the world" against the U.S. Sad to say, hate doesn't favour keen analysis.

That is the last sin which cannot be forgiven: the U.S. has not yet understood what happened in Europe the last several years. Did they ever realise how strong was the support enjoyed by Chirac and German Chancellor Schroeder from not only German and French but also Spanish, Italian and even British public opinions?

Yet, time is no more for France to "lead" its European partners. The old Europe was that of nationalism; the new one is the integrated Europe, and as the FT concludes: "We should thank the U.S. for that."

Reprinted from Gulf News:
gulf-news.com