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Politics : Sharks in the Septic Tank -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Lane3 who wrote (72067)8/8/2003 10:01:55 AM
From: epicure  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 82486
 
Great article.
I see your point about the runaway horse is in it.

"But you know something? That bedrock has been crumbling for years, without homosexual help. We don't attach so much importance to marriage anymore, do we? "



To: Lane3 who wrote (72067)8/8/2003 10:33:04 AM
From: epicure  Respond to of 82486
 
Interesting article:
ANALYSIS
Insider fires a broadside at Rumsfeld's office
By Jim Lobe

WASHINGTON - On most days, the Pentagon's "Early Bird", a daily compilation of news articles on defense-related issues mostly from the US and British press, does not shy from reprinting hard-hitting stories and columns critical of the United States Defense Department's top leadership.

But few could help notice last week that the "Bird" omitted an opinion piece distributed by the Knight-Ridder news agency by a senior Pentagon Middle East specialist, Air Force Lt Col Karen Kwiatkowski, who worked in the office of Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Douglas Feith until her retirement in April.

"What I saw was aberrant, pervasive and contrary to good order and discipline," Kwiatkowski wrote. "If one is seeking the answers to why peculiar bits of 'intelligence' found sanctity in a presidential speech, or why the post-Saddam [Hussein] occupation [of Iraq] has been distinguished by confusion and false steps, one need look no further than the process inside the Office of the Secretary of Defense [OSD]."

Kwiatkowski went on to charge that the operations she witnessed during her tenure in Feith's office, and particularly those of an ad hoc group known as the Office of Special Plans (OSP), constituted "a subversion of constitutional limits on executive power and a co-option through deceit of a large segment of the Congress".

Kwiatkowski's charges, which tend to confirm reports and impressions offered to the press by retired officers from other intelligence agencies and their still-active but anonymous former colleagues, are likely to make her a prime witness when Congress reconvenes in September for hearings on the manipulation of intelligence to justify war against Iraq.

According to Kwiatkowski, the same operation that allegedly cooked the intelligence also was responsible for the administration's failure to anticipate the problems that now dog the US occupation in Iraq, or, in her more colorful words, that have placed 150,000 US troops in "the world's nastiest rat's nest, without a nation-building plan, without significant international support and without an exit plan".

Kwiatkowski's comments echo the worst fears of some lawmakers, who have begun looking into the OSP's role in the administration's mistaken assumptions in Iraq. Some are even comparing it to the off-the-books operation run from the National Security Council (NSC) during the Ronald Reagan administration that later resulted in the Iran-Contra scandal.

"That office [OSP] was charged with collecting, vetting, disseminating intelligence completely outside the normal intelligence apparatus," David Obey, a senior Democrat in the House of Representatives, said last month. "In fact, it appears that the information collected by this office was in some instances not even shared with the established intelligence agencies and in numerous instances was passed on to the National Security Council and the president without having been vetted with anyone other than [Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld]."

Little is known about OSP, which was originally created by Rumsfeld and his top deputy, Paul Wolfowitz, to investigate possible links between Saddam and Osama bin Laden's al-Qaeda terrorist group. While only a dozen people officially worked in the office at its largest, scores of "consultants" were brought in on contract, many of them closely identified with the neo-conservative and pro-Likud views held by the Pentagon leadership.

Headed by a gung-ho former navy officer, William Luti, and a scholarly national-security analyst, Abram Shulsky, OSP was given complete access to reams of raw intelligence produced by the US intelligence community and became the preferred stop, when in town, for defectors handled by the Iraqi National Congress (INC), led by Ahmed Chalabi.

It also maintained close relations with the Defense Policy Board (DPB), which was then chaired by Richard Perle of the American Enterprise Institute (AEI), Feith's mentor in the Reagan administration. Perle and Feith, whose published views on Israeli policy echo the right-wing Likud party, co-authored a 1996 memo for then-prime minister Binyamin Netanyahu that argued that Saddam's ouster in Iraq would enable Israel to transform the balance of power in the Middle East in its favor.

The DPB included some of Perle's closest associates, including former Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) director James Woolsey and the former Republican speaker of the House of Representatives, Newt Gingrich, who played prominent roles in pushing the public case that Iraq represented an imminent threat to the United States and that it was closely tied to al-Qaeda and other terrorist networks.

In her article, Kwiatkowski wrote that OSP's work was marked by three major characteristics:

First, career Pentagon analysts assigned to Rumsfeld's office were generally excluded from what were "key areas of interest" to Feith, Wolfowitz and Rumsfeld, notably Israel, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia. "In terms of Israel and Iraq, all primary staff work was conducted by political appointees; in the case of Israel, a desk officer appointee from the Washington Institute for Near Policy [a think tank closely tied to the main pro-Israel lobby in Washington, the American Israel Public Affairs Committee]."

Second, the same group of appointees tended to work with like-minded political appointees in other agencies, especially the State Department, the NSC, and Vice President Dick Cheney's office, rather than with those agencies' career analysts or the CIA. "I personally witnessed several cases of staff officers being told not to contact their counterparts at State or the National Security Council because that particular decision would be processed through a different channel," Kwiatkowski wrote.

The CIA's exclusion from this network could help explain why Cheney and his National Security Advisor, I Lewis Libby, a long-time associate of Wolfowitz, frequently visited the agency, in what analysts widely regarded as pressure to conform to OSP assessments.

Third, this exclusion of professional and independent opinions, both within the Pentagon and across government agencies - according to Kwiatkowski - resulted in "groupthink", a technical term defined as "reasoning or decision-making by a group, often characterized by uncritical acceptance of conformity to prevailing points of view". In this case, the prevailing points of view were presumably shaped by neo-conservatives like Feith, Wolfowitz and Perle.

Kwiatkowski's broadside coincides with the appearance in neo-conservative media outlets, notably the Wall Street Journal, of defenses of Feith, who is widely seen as the Pentagon's most likely fall guy if it is forced to shoulder blame for bad intelligence and planning. The government of British Prime Minister Tony Blair has pressed President George W Bush to fire Feith for several months, according to diplomatic sources.

In a lengthy defense published on Tuesday, the associate editor of the Journal's editorial page described Feith's policy workshop as "the world's most effective think tank".



To: Lane3 who wrote (72067)8/8/2003 10:34:25 AM
From: epicure  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 82486
 
I also found this one worth reading:
THE ROVING EYE
Jihad virus attacks Pentagon logic
By Pepe Escobar

BANGKOK - Pentagon spin, via Deputy Defense Secretary Paul Wolfowitz, has it that "Iraq now is the central battle in the war on terrorism." Al-Qaeda's No 2, Ayman al-Zawahiri, aka The Surgeon, has proved Wolfowitz, the Pentagon's No 2, wrong.

Al-Zawahiri had warned "the American people" that what they had seen so far were only the "initial skirmishes" of a war. Two days later, a devastating bomb at the Marriott Hotel in southern Jakarta killed at least 16 people and wounded about 150, most of them Indonesians, not Westerners.

The International Islamic Front, or call it the al-Qaeda global franchising business, was just waiting for an opening. The Bush administration's logic in its "war against terror" is that security does not exist unless martial hygiene is fully imposed. Security is arguably much tighter in the United States and Europe after September 11, 2001. But how do you secure a huge archipelago like Indonesia, spread out over the sea like a string of pearls for more than 5,000 kilometers? Pressure on the government of President Megawati Sukarnoputri is useless. The United States cannot have it both ways. After faithful military servant Suharto had outlasted his usefulness, Washington said it wanted democracy in Indonesia - but with no resurgence of Islamist sentiment. But there are various degrees of Islam in Indonesia, from the tolerant, tropical, soft Southeast Asian version to the kick-out-the-foreigners-let's-bring-the-caliphate-back brand of Jemaah Islamiyah (JI).

Everybody for the moment seems to agree that Jemaah Islamiyah is behind the Jakarta bombing as it was behind the Bali bombing of last October 12. The timing of the Jakarta bombing may be related to the fact that this Thursday an Indonesian court is to deliver its verdict on Amrozi, the first person to go on trial over the Bali bombing. And the trial of Abu Bakar Ba'asyir, the alleged leader of JI, is also due to reopen. But the most important fact is that Hambali, aka Riduan Isamuddin, is still on the loose. Hambali is the de facto, No 1 in JI. He is No 1 on Southeast Asia's most-wanted list. And he is also a senior al-Qaeda operative.

The administration of US President George W Bush still has not understood that jihad - this worldwide anti-American jihad - is not an enterprise. Jihad is based on individual commitment. It operates as a nebula. It spreads like a virus. Al-Zawahiri sends a signal on tape and a cell somewhere with strike capability seizes an opportunity. Intelligence agencies repeat that dozens of plots have been foiled these past few months. But not all of them. Indonesia will always be a prime target - a fragile link in security terms, crammed with US interests.

In his tape, al-Zawahiri says something crucial: "We are saying to America one thing: What you saw with your eyes so far were only initial skirmishes, for the real battle hasn't even started yet. Therefore it is upon the American people whose armies have killed our women and children, if they care about their future and their future generations to come, to start relying on their mind and logic before it is too late to repent."

European intelligence sources in Brussels have told Asia Times Online that the US strategy in Iraq is something like a Spanish bullfight. By showing a red rag - in the form of an occupation force - the Bush administration expects to attract all manner of hard-to-find Islamist bulls. According to this logic, it would be easier for the Islamist bulls to attack American soldiers than to attack Americans around the world.

The problem is, the bulls are not playing the game. There's no hard evidence up to now - and not a single arrest - of jihadis attacking the Americans in Iraq. Of course, as the occupation drags on there's a strong possibility of Afghan-trained jihadis increasingly relocating to Iraq. But the jihadi virus is global. It manifests itself in attacks in Africa, in porous Indonesia, in the daily attacks in Afghanistan, in the capacity of JI to strike sooner or later in Thailand, Malaysia or even fortress Singapore.

Paul Wolfowitz and the Pentagon will have to revise their logic. Martial hygiene is not working. The Bush administration's first reaction to September 11 was to try to destroy al-Qaeda. But Osama bin Laden could not be captured. Ayman al-Zawahiri could not be captured. Mullah Omar, the Taliban leader, could not be captured. So the screenplay had to be changed, to Wolfowitz's original idea: smash Saddam Hussein. Evil metamorphosed from Osama to Saddam. Saddam may be gone, but al-Qaeda remains, and on top of it the US now faces a national liberation struggle in Iraq that is led neither by remnants of the Ba'ath Party nor by al-Qaeda, but by Iraqi Sunnis and Shi'ites alike.

Only a long-term, carefully elaborated political strategy would be able to contain this worldwide anti-US jihad. There's no possible military solution. You can't kill a virus with a barrage of TOW missiles. And, according to al-Zawahiri, "The real battle hasn't even started yet."