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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (4867)	8/12/2003 8:57:07 PM
From: LindyBill	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 793615

Did you see Newt Gingrich on Charlie Rose? I was all set to see it and blew it! Sounds like Charlie treated him well. From your report, I guess they did not spend much time on State.

To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (4867)	8/13/2003 10:38:44 AM
From: carranza2	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 793615

I wish I shared your optimism with regard to Bush getting handily re-elected. There are lots of things on the horizon hat make me think that he will face a tougher campaign than anyone imagines. I'll list them in no particular order of importance: 1.- Weak economic growth; 2.- A whiff of scandal, real or imagined, that might set off a media frenzy; 3.- Continuing difficulties in Iraq resulting in a slow stream of unacceptable casualties; 4.- A media frenzy surrounding his nomination of S. Ct. justice(s). He will no doubt nominate quite conservative candidates who will have difficulty passing Senate muster. This may alienate centrists--a group of voters he needs to garner should the Dems nominate a centrist themselves; 5.- Weak campaign style. Face it, he does not have the Clintonesque cheesey charisma of a game show host that Dean and Edwards to some extent have. Unfortunately, the best thing that could happen politically to Bush is something awful: another significant domestic terror event that would allow him to show off his leadership in that arena. For obvious reasons, it could also end up being a double-edged sword.