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To: Davy Crockett who wrote (17067)8/18/2003 11:55:13 PM
From: LLCF  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 39344
 
I forgot to mention the REASON the Black Scholes model [or any model for that matter.... including insurance, etc. which is what option 'premium' really is] is so powerful. It is precisely because they expire. The great equalizer, worth zero or parity. Unfortunately companies don't expire... often enough anyway :)

Also, this kind of leverage is rare in the world... warrants on stocks trading at $1??? Stocks likely to have bi-polar distributions [ie. soar or bust] to boot??? UFB at these prices really.

If someone wanted to do some leg work for us warrant lovers, they would figure out which stocks had:

1.) drill programs working on potential bonanzas...
2.) Where one loves the potential, but the company has bet the ranch, or is likely to get killed if they fail [Caldero anyone?].
3.) Low # shares out... mkt cap I suppose.
4.) Highly leveraged.

You get the picture... warrants are actually worth a LOT MORE on companies that are highly leveraged and potential boom and busts.

DAK