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To: TobagoJack who wrote (37331)8/20/2003 4:35:48 AM
From: Seeker of Truth  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Hello Jay,
I'm managing a system that "is patched together over a long elapsed time from sub-systems and components of different times." It is software, not electrical generation and transmission but as you imply, the principal is the same, namely complexity reduces the predictability. The key to success seems to be to isolate the subsystems. In software we don't totally isolate a subsystem; we tightly control and limit its interaction with other subsystems. So to isolate ourselves from the big system, we need to buy gold and oil and gas stocks, and further? buy Chinese stocks? Indian stocks? Residential real estate? Limiting the interaction of a subsystem with the set of other subsystems, is a complexity reducing move.