Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Biotech / Medical : SARS and Avian Flu -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Biomaven who wrote (935)	8/21/2003 7:06:29 AM
From: Henry Niman	Respond to of 4232

Here is the data for the various types of flu in the US cdc.gov Each year flu gets "put back in the box" in the spring, only to pop back up in the fall. The graphs are pretty dramatic.

To: Biomaven who wrote (935)	8/21/2003 7:54:05 AM
From: Henry Niman	Respond to of 4232

SARS CoV is an RNA virus that causes respiratory disease as do other coronaviruses and influenza viruses. These disease are largely seasonal and occur in the fall/winter. I believe that SARS will follow this pattern. If you look at the influenza chart, they don't even chart weeks 20 to 40 because the virus essentially disappears from the clinical radar screen. The SARS epidemic ended quite abruptly. Quarantine may have slowed the spread, but I don't think the transmission chain was broken, especially for milder cases, which is clearly demonstrated in Surrey, BC. So far, no common mutations have be announced and I would not be surprised if none are found. If there are no mutations in Surrey SARS CoV, then the upcoming fall and winter will be quite severe.