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To: SwampDogg who wrote (79545)8/21/2003 8:11:49 PM
From: The Freep  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
Well, there might be a leadership issue... though the SOX took care of that in tech. Cyclicals/equipments are taking the lead in non-tech (MMM and CAT at 52 week highs. AA, GM, GE doing well).

PFE looks ugly (though today's candle below the bands looks like a temp low, at least). But C is another ball of wax. Yes, it looks ugly here, but the volume pattern sure is not indicative of a H+S top. And, as JJ will show you, there have been a ton of stocks lately that have made this pattern but never fallen through the neckline, meaning they are just POTENTIAL H+S's. Trying to anticipate such patterns lately has been costly for bears. I'd also note that C had three waves down from the top on the daily with A and C pretty darn close. That said, it's hard to see much bullish in the chart ... but I'm the guy who thought XLNX would break its triple bottom <g>

I was just looking at the homebuilders (stocks I wish I'd been long and vowed not to short). BZH and LEN, for two, look they moved impulsively off the high. BZH is within dimes of a 50% retrace of the down. LEN is near 38.2%. Perhaps a move in bonds will take these down a peg and knock a leg out from under the market. Then again, the reason I don't short these guys is because I have heard that logic on a daily basis for three years or so! Still, a sector to watch.

the freep