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Politics : WHO IS RUNNING FOR PRESIDENT IN 2004 -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: calgal who wrote (4184)	8/22/2003 11:17:32 AM
From: calgal	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 10965

Kerry loses early lead in polls to rival Dean By Donald Lambro THE WASHINGTON TIMES Sen. John Kerry, once considered the front-runner for the Democratic presidential nomination, is falling behind his chief rivals in the national polls and in key primary and caucus states. The Massachusetts senator, who led polls in neighboring New Hampshire for months, has slipped badly there in the past few weeks. Meanwhile, former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean has surged into first place with a 7 percentage-point lead on a wave of TV ads and the fierce support of liberal activists opposed to the war in Iraq. Mr. Kerry runs no better than third or fourth among Democrats in Iowa and has dropped to fourth place nationally. His support registers in single digits in the national polls. Election analysts say Mr. Kerry's decline is largely the result of his inability to fashion a strong political message that can overcome the combative Mr. Dean's sharply partisan message against Mr. Bush's handling of Iraq, the economy and jobs. "It's message versus no message," said pollster John Zogby. "Dean is focused. His messages can fit on a bumper sticker. They're clear. You know who he is and you know where he stands. ... "Kerry just hasn't found a focus yet. He is all nuances. He can give you competing arguments on all the major issues and have you walk away and say, 'Yeah, but where does he stand?' " Mr. Zogby said. Democratic strategists acknowledge that Mr. Kerry has one of the best professional campaign teams in the business. But they say he has not been able to get any traction for his attacks against Mr. Dean, who is in a dead heat with Rep. Richard A. Gephardt of Missouri for first among Iowa Democrats. In some polls, Mr. Dean is slightly ahead of the former House Democratic leader. Earlier this month, Gallup found that support for Mr. Kerry fell 3 percentage points nationally in just 10 days. Mr. Kerry sank behind Mr. Dean, Mr. Gephardt and Sen. Joe Lieberman of Connecticut. Regionally, Mr. Zogby's polling shows Mr. Kerry running well behind his rivals in the East, South and the Midwest. Mr. Kerry's third- or fourth-place position in Iowa was bad enough, but his decline in New Hampshire — now 21 percent to Mr. Dean's 28 percent — has some rival campaigns forecasting the end of Mr. Kerry's candidacy if he loses the first 2004 primary. "It's difficult for any candidate to do poorly in Iowa and New Hampshire and be taken seriously," said Jim Demers, who is Mr. Gephardt's chief New Hampshire strategist, "and it becomes even more difficult if you are a New Englander and do poorly in New Hampshire." Mr. Kerry's supporters, and even some of his opponents, discounted his slippage more than five months before the first votes — the Jan. 24 Iowa caucuses and the Jan. 27 primary in New Hampshire. Most voters are not focused on the presidential elections and won't be until sometime after Labor Day, they say. "Polls at this stage are essentially meaningless, particularly in Iowa and New Hampshire. Dean's had a lot of favorable press in the last couple of weeks, with cover stories in Time and Newsweek," said Philip Johnston, a Kerry adviser and chairman of the Massachusetts Democratic Party. "If Kerry loses New Hampshire, I think we'd have the resources to go on, but I don't want to speculate, because I think he will win," Mr. Johnston said. Mr. Dean has been running TV ads in southern New Hampshire for nearly two weeks now. The Kerry campaign decided to wait until early September when his advisers believe voters will be paying more attention. "Kerry had great name recognition, but the part of New Hampshire closest to Massachusetts didn't really know Howard Dean. As Howard's name recognition has grown, you are seeing a shift going on," said Boston businessman Steve Grossman, the former Democratic national chairman who is now co-chairman of the Dean campaign. "Going on television early, that's part of why his numbers have gone up." Mr. Dean's early surge may help lock more Democrats and independents in his corner, making it difficult for Mr. Kerry to later recover from early losses — as Bill Clinton did in 1992 after placing second in New Hampshire. Mr. Gephardt's advisers are playing up the Dean-Kerry rivalry, hoping it will create an opening for the Missouri congressman, whose strategy is to win Iowa and place a strong third in New Hampshire. "For Howard Dean and John Kerry, New Hampshire is like a demolition derby. Only one of them will drive out. When you come from next door, like Massachusetts or Vermont, you have to win here in order to move on," Mr. Demers said.

To: calgal who wrote (4184)	8/23/2003 12:02:17 PM
From: Tadsamillionaire	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 10965

Pakistanis Charged With Illegal Entry SEATTLE - Two Pakistani men arrested separately at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport while trying to fly to New York have been charged with immigration violations. Javed Khan and Arif Mahmood appeared before a U.S. District Court magistrate Thursday. The men, Pakistani citizens who have been living in Canada, were detained until their trial, scheduled for Oct. 14-15. At the time of the arrests, a TSA spokesman told The Associated Press that both names appeared on the agency's terrorism-related "no-fly" list. But John Hartingh, a spokesman for the U.S. Attorney's Office in Seattle, said Friday that only Mahmood's was. "It was later determined that only one was on the no-fly list," TSA spokeswoman Jennifer Marty said Friday. She declined to say why Mahmood was placed on the list. he men were arrested Aug. 9. According to an affidavit filed Wednesday, they said they had been smuggled across the Canadian border near Blaine. Each man is charged with illegally entering the country. The charges carry a maximum penalty of six months in prison and a fine of up to $5,000. Since the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks, airlines have routinely run security checks on passengers who purchase one-way tickets or buy tickets with cash. Hundreds of individuals have been briefly detained at airports after their names matched those on the TSA no-fly list, according to TSA records. Khan, 36, told immigration officials he was trying to get to New York to apply for asylum. He was arrested after police determined he was wanted by Canadian immigration officials. "There is absolutely no evidence that Mr. Khan is involved in terrorism," said Khan's lawyer, Brian Phillips. Mahmood, 29, was detained after an airline employee noticed his name on the "no-fly" list. His lawyer, Walter Palmer, did not immediately return a phone message Thursday. story.news.yahoo.com. For more info ........ ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION THE FIGHT TO KEEP OUR DEMOCRACY Subject 53228