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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (12988)8/23/2003 5:51:45 PM
From: nextrade!Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
An optimistic viewpoint, Ass-Backward Economics

Jim Willie CB

gold-eagle.com

Personally, I expect many unfortunate developments in the next year or two:

a sharp rise in the cost of living (especially from energy bills)
rising import product prices from Asian producers
continued falling prices as our domestic economy continues its liquidation process
continued fiscal duress among the states, led by California and New York
increased federal govt spending, offsetting decreased state spending
increased federal govt tax refunds & rebates, offsetting increased state taxes
rising longterm interest rates (heading easily past 5%)
no return to corporate profitability outside the financial sector
continued strain on household budgets
sudden illiquidity in mortgage finance
a gradual decline in residential real estate prices
disappearance of home equity and other refinancing
decline in retail consumption
rise in unemployment
collapse of both Fanny Mae and Freddy Mac, as losses gain momentum
dreaded derivative events finally surface, frightening the nation
foreign capital flight from many financial sectors
a wider war in the Middle East and Gulf Region