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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Louis V. Lambrecht who wrote (464)	8/23/2003 5:09:15 PM
From: rolatzi	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 110194

The market may not correct again until the first year of the president's second term. That is the normal pattern of the four year market cycle. I expect a correction going into the fall as Sept and Oct are the worst performing months on average. That will be followed by a resumption of the up cycle in 2004 to assure the reelction of George Bush. The treasury and the FED have been flooding the market with liquidity to keep the economy afloat and they usually succeed. It is interesting that the European countries are doing worse than the U.S. economically. This has reversed the decline of the US dollar by again making the US stock market more attractive for foreign investment. This can continue for a while. It is surprising that the Japanese market is doing so well but they can be relied upon, in any case, to continue to prop up the dollar and keep their export industries solvent. Ro