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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Cary Salsberg who wrote (11171)8/23/2003 5:44:57 PM
From: Donald Wennerstrom  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95639
 
Cary, That is not what happened in the last run going up
the bubble from 10/8/98 to the peaks of each stock in 2000.
The following table shows the results. TER did the best of
the 4 semi-equip stocks in the SOX, but was in 7th place out
of the 25 stocks in the Group. AMAT wound up in 10th place,
NVLS in 12th place, and KLAC in 15th place.

I will bet you a big steak dinner that not all of the 3
stocks you mentioned will be in the top 10. As a matter of
fact, any of the 3 will be lucky to make it into the top 10
IMO.

Off the present bottom of 10/9/02, in the Group of 25,
TER is in 13th, KLAC 17th, AMAT 18th, and NVLS 19th place.
I will post the table later today if I have time.

- 2000
- 10/08/98 HIGHEST
- CLOSE CLOSE PERCENT
SYMBOL PRICE PRICE CHANGE
PHTN 2.25 90.38 3917
LTXX 1.31 50.25 3736
ASYT 3.13 63.88 1941
LRCX 2.93 55.56 1796
MTSN 2.75 49.13 1687
CMOS 5.00 74.59 1392
TER* 7.82 110.00 1307
ASML 4.38 50.05 1043
BRKS 8.38 89.69 970
AMAT* 5.59 57.44 928
CYMI 6.50 65.25 904
NVLS* 7.30 69.94 858
HELX 7.88 75.38 857
SMTL 2.57 23.69 822
KLAC* 10.94 97.44 791
COHU 6.75 59.50 781
KLIC 5.19 43.00 729
WFR 3.63 23.75 554
EGLS 7.94 43.44 447
FSII 4.25 23.13 444
VECO 21.63 115.50 434
ATMI 11.50 60.00 422
PLAB 9.50 45.13 375
DPMI 17.88 78.81 341
UTEK 13.56 19.38 43
TOTALS 180.56 1534.31 750
SOX-X 189.90 1332.73 602
COMPQX1419.12 5048.85 256
* STOCKS INCLUDED IN SOX INDEX